Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: South American Championship U20 - Final Group - Round 5

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio José Antonio Anzoátegui (Puerto La Cruz) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	DirecTV Sports
Bolivia	15:00	Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	16:00	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	16:00	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	14:00	Caracol TV, RCN Television
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Paraguay	16:00	Tigo Sports
Peru	14:00	DirecTV Sports
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	16:00	Antel TV, AUFTV, DirecTV Sports, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2, TV Ciudad
Venezuela	15:00	DirecTV Sports, Inter
International	19:00	DirecTV Sports


	Uruguay U20		Colombia U20

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.17	2.78
				Watch
	2.45	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.24)	3.09 ↓ (3.52)	2.74 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay U20
36.6%

Draw
29.8%

Colombia U20
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.6%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uruguay U20's performance.

Colombia U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colombia U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay U20 than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uruguay U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colombia U20 than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colombia U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Uruguay U20 - Colombia U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bonilla F. (G) Club Nacional 13. Gonzalez F. Danubio 3. Calione P. Club Nacional 15. Montero A. 2. Ramos N. Club Nacional 17. Zalazar M. Schalke 14. Peralta M. Danubio 18. Barbas G. Penarol 22. Calcagno B. Palencia CF 21. Severo A. Racing Montevideo 19. Crucci E. Wanderers	22. Tovar A. (G) Envigado 21. Sarabia C. 4. Bazan J. Dep. Pereira 3. Sandoval K. Crvena zvezda 17. Arizala J. Ind. Medellin 19. Gonzalez K. Inter Palmira 6. Ararat A. Huila 14. Barrera J. Junior 11. Batioja A. Houston Dynamo 23. Villarreal N. Millonarios 20. Montano J. Lommel SK
Substitutes
4. Agazzi L. Defensor Sp. 11. Albarracin A. Boston River 16. Cuello E. Defensor Sp. 8. Helguera T. Braga 7. Lavega J. Fluminense 1. Martinez K. (G) Danubio 23. Ortiz Ferreira V. F. (G) Maldonado 6. Pacifico P. Defensor Sp. 10. Petit G. Club Nacional 20. Pino L. Montevideo City 5. Rodriguez J. Penarol	7. Aponza Cantonil S. A. Alianza 8. Benitez Hernandez R. A. Aguilas Doradas 1. Garcia Jordan (G) Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 18. Landazuri L. Atl. Nacional 10. Perea O. Strasbourg 5. Quinonez E. Orsomarso 13. Renteria L. Santa Fe 16. Rodriguez Y. Inter Palmira 12. Rojas A. (G) Arsenal 9. Villarreal A.
Coaches
Coito F.	Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Villarreal N. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Severo A. ⚽,
15', 1 - 2, Gonzalez K. ⚽, Villarreal N. (A),
39', 1 - 3, Sarabia C. ⚽, Villarreal N. (A),
45', Sandoval K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramos N. ↓, Agazzi L. ↑,
46', Gonzalez F. ↓, Pacifico P. ↑,
46', Sandoval K. ↓, Quinonez E. ↑,
54', Calcagno B. ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
54', Barbas G. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
59', Montano J. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
59', Barrera J. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
59', Ararat A. ↓, Landazuri L. ↑,
68', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
71', Severo A. ↓, Albarracin A. ↑,
80', Batioja A. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,

Preview

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 53. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 21.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Siniakova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kostyuk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay U20
South American Championship U20
13.02.25	Paraguay U20 - Uruguay U20	1:0 ✺
10.02.25	Chile U20 - Uruguay U20	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Uruguay U20 - Argentina U20	3:4 ✺
04.02.25	Uruguay U20 - Brazil U20	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Venezuela U20 - Uruguay U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Colombia U20
South American Championship U20
13.02.25	Colombia U20 - Chile U20	3:1 ✺
10.02.25	Argentina U20 - Colombia U20	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Colombia U20 - Brazil U20	0:1 ✺
04.02.25	Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20	4:0 ✺
01.02.25	Brazil U20 - Colombia U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

South American Championship U20
31.01.23	Uruguay U20 - Colombia U20	1:0
South American Games U19
12.10.22	Uruguay U20 - Colombia U20	1:2
Friendly
10.12.21	Colombia U20 - Uruguay U20	2:1
South American Championship U20
10.02.19	Colombia U20 - Uruguay U20	0:0
Friendly
10.05.18	Uruguay U20 - Colombia U20	0:2
South American Championship U20
05.02.17	Uruguay U20 - Colombia U20	3:0
04.02.15	Uruguay U20 - Colombia U20	0:0

Uruguay U20 - Colombia U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide