Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV, Footballclub


	Utebo		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.5
	2.38	3	2.85
	2.42	3	3.1
	2.38	3.06	2.94	Watch
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.4	3.23	2.92
	2.38	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.27)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	2.81 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utebo
37.3%

Draw
30.1%

Talavera de la Reina
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Utebo - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Barrero J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Talavera de la Reina - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.69%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.05.25	Utebo - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Calahorra - Utebo	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Utebo - Teruel	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Utebo - Eibar B	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Tudelano - Utebo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.05.25	Talavera de la Reina - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Getafe B - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Talavera de la Reina - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Coria - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Talavera de la Reina - Illescas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWTT

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