Match Info

Superettan - Round 16

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Persson M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Värnamo		Brage

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	2.80
	2.15	3.50	2.90
	2.12	3.55	3.00
	2.26	3.70	3.12
	2.17	3.7	3	Watch
	2.18	3.65	3.05
	2.16	3.62	2.99	Watch
	2.14	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.26)	3.58 ↑ (3.58)	2.96 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
42.8%

Draw
25.9%

Brage
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

25.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Värnamo - Brage Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Brage will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 3. Bjornstrom A. 5. Bergqvist D. 6. Andersson H. 2. Rapp J. 8. Andersson H. 10. Claesson V. (C) 16. Kujundzic A. 17. Bozicevic F. 14. Antonsson M. 9. Meriluoto K.	1. Frodig V. (G) 4. Persson M. 22. Stagaard T. 5. Konjuhi L. 21. Ostberg N. 28. Granstrom G. 12. Mortensen A. 27. Okeke V. 8. Sporrong A. 9. Trpcevski F. (C) 19. Sise M.
Substitutes
21. Abdulrazak I. 15. Coulibaly S. 28. Diallo M. C. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 4. Ohlsson S. 23. Robertsson L. 39. Sapielak B. (G) 34. Zulovic B.	10. Berggren G. 13. Engdahl A. (G) 30. Guadagno J. (G) 24. Hellblom A. 17. Jonsson P. 25. Pihlstrom A. 14. Skille J. 15. Stark O.
Coaches
Bergstrand K.	Kallberg G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Sise M. 🟨,
53', Kujundzic A. ↓, Ohlsson S. ↑,
53', Bozicevic F. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
59', Mortensen A. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
76', Meriluoto K. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
76', Rapp J. ↓, Freij E. ↑,
78', Okeke V. 🟨,
82', Okeke V. ↓, Stark O. ↑,
82', Sise M. ↓, Skille J. ↑,
88', Andersson H. 🟨,
90', Robertsson L. 🟨,
90+3', Trpcevski F. 🟨,
90+4', Bergqvist D. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 2.

Värnamo has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brage's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Värnamo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29
15	Brage	25	5	8	12	39:48	-9	23

Last Results with these Odds

Brage - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
19.07.26	Värnamo - Ljungskile	2:3 ✺
28.06.26	Landskrona - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Brage - Värnamo	5:1 ✺
16.06.26	Värnamo - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
09.06.26	Öster - Värnamo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
18.07.26	Öster - Brage	3:2 ✺
26.06.26	Brage - Falkenberg	2:4 ✺
21.06.26	Brage - Värnamo	5:1 ✺
14.06.26	Sandviken - Brage	3:2 ✺
09.06.26	Brage - Ljungskile	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
21.06.26	Brage - Värnamo	5:1
20.11.21	Brage - Värnamo	3:1
24.04.21	Värnamo - Brage	1:0
28.07.18	Brage - Värnamo	0:1
30.06.18	Värnamo - Brage	2:3
29.08.13	Brage - Värnamo	1:1
06.05.13	Värnamo - Brage	2:1

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