Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 19

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Paramount+
World	Fanatiz


	Vélez Sársfield		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.2	9	Watch
	1.42	4.33	7.5
	1.39	4.35	8.6	Watch
	1.41	4.4	9.03
	1.44	4.29	8.26
	1.65	3.6	5.5
	1.42	4.45	8.1	Watch
	1.39	4.35	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.85)	4.25 ↑ (3.24)	8.07 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
65.9%

Draw
22.3%

Belgrano
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield's performance.

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 31. Gomez V. 6. Quiros A. 32. Ordonez C. 26. Bouzat A. (C) 20. Pizzini F. 22. Aquino C. 27. Fernandez T. 9. Braian Romero	25. Espinola J. (G) 2. Leguizamon A. 37. Troilo M. 13. Meriano N. 8. Compagnucci G. 16. Rolon E. 15. Menossi L. 53. Velazquez J. 24. Gonzalez F. 22. Fernandez N. 29. Jara F. (C)
Substitutes
47. Bosch B. 28. Carrizo M. 5. Elias J. 34. Fernandez D. 24. Guidara T. 14. Lagos A. 36. Montoro A. 48. Montoro F. 11. Pellegrini M. 17. Pineiro R. 12. Rodriguez R. (G) 19. Roldan L.	45. Baldi A. 19. Chavarria P. 1. Chicco I. (G) 35. Facello F. 34. Heredia G. 51. Hernandes R. 26. Lencioni F. 42. Lucco J. 10. Marin M. 23. Quignon F. 11. Reyna B. 7. Suarez M.
Coaches
Quinteros G.	Real J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽, Compagnucci G. (A),
12', Troilo M. 🟨,
13', Braian Romero 🟨,
23', Compagnucci G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quiros A. ↓, Elias J. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Fernandez T. ⚽, Braian Romero (A),
54', Fernandez N. ↓, Quignon F. ↑,
70', Gonzalez F. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
70', Menossi L. ↓, Baldi A. ↑,
73', Mammana E. 🟨,
80', Jara F. ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
80', Meriano N. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
86', Ordonez C. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
90', Pizzini F. ↓, Bosch B. ↑,
90', Garcia J. ↓, Lagos A. ↑,
90+3', Lagos A. 🟨,
90+4', Aquino C. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.

Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Belgrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vélez is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Vélez: Santos M. (Injury)

There will not play in Belgrano: Bustos L. (Injury) Daniele M. (Injury) Passerini L. (Injury) Sanchez U. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Vélez won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:19 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.24	River Plate - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	1:0 ✺
01.10.24	Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.09.24	Vélez Sársfield - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.09.24	Vélez Sársfield - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLWW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.24	Belgrano - Platense	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Atlético Tucumán - Belgrano	2:4 ✺
14.09.24	Belgrano - Independiente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Serie Rio de la Plata
17.01.24	Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.06.23	Belgrano - Vélez Sársfield	2:0
28.10.18	Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano	1:0
16.02.18	Belgrano - Vélez Sársfield	2:2
08.05.17	Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano	1:2
19.03.16	Belgrano - Vélez Sársfield	2:3
21.03.15	Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano	1:2

Upcoming Matches