Match Info

J2 League - Round 29

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.2
	2.98	3.3	2.2
	3.11	3.45	2.36
	2.88	3.25	2.41	Watch
	2.99	3.3	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.14)	3.28 ↓ (3.51)	2.27 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
31.1%

Draw
28.2%

V-Varen Nagasaki
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

26.5%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.3%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Omiya Ardija - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Omiya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 30. Arthur Feitoza 29. Caprini 9. Gonzalez F. 4. Ichihara R. 14. Izumi T. 7. Kojima M. 22. Motegi R. 34. Murakami Y. 20. Shimoguchi W. 10. Toyokawa Y.	21. Goto M. (G) 29. Arai I. 8. Diego Pituca 44. Egawa Y. 11. Junio E. 10. Matheus Jesus 50. Onaga H. 19. Sawada T. 3. Sekiguchi M. 48. Teruyama H. 5. Yamaguchi H.
Substitutes
42. Fujii K. 44. Fukui K. 21. Kato Y. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 23. Sugimoto K. 90. Sunday O. 33. Wada T. 41. Yachida T. 16. Yasumitsu S.	16. Emerson Deocleciano 31. Harada G. (G) 33. Kasayanagi T. 13. Kato M. 25. Kushibiki K. 34. Matsumoto T. 41. Tadokoro R. 18. Yamasaki R. 23. Yoneda S.
Coaches
Nagasawa T.	Takagi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Yamaguchi H. ⚽, Matheus Jesus (A),
30', 1 - 1, Toyokawa Y. ⚽, Caprini (A),
45+3', 1 - 2, Junio E. ⚽, Diego Pituca (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Junio E. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
46', Sawada T. ↓, Emerson Deocleciano ↑,
47', Emerson Deocleciano 🟨,
63', Gonzalez F. ↓, Sunday O. ↑,
63', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
72', Motegi R. 🟨,
75', Kojima M. ↓, Yachida T. ↑,
75', Motegi R. ↓, Sekiguchi K. ↑,
78', Yamaguchi H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
81', Caprini ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
84', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
85', Sunday O. 🟨,
86', Teruyama H. ↓, Kushibiki K. ↑,
87', Goto M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 0.

Omiya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

V-Varen Nagasaki is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, V-Varen Nagasaki has had a series of home games.

V-Varen Nagasaki will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Omiya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
30.08.25	Consadole Sapporo - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Ehime - Omiya Ardija	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
31.08.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Sagan Tosu - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Vegalta Sendai	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
15.06.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija	3:3
26.08.23	Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:4
17.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija	2:0
23.10.22	Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:3
14.05.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija	0:0
11.07.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija	1:1
27.03.21	Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki	4:0

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