Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 11

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (Nagasaki)

Referee: Sendachi K. (Jpn)


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Yokohama FC

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.65	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.77	3.31	2.66
	2.77	3.31	2.66
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.67	3.13	2.56	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.62)	3.18 ↓ (3.27)	2.59 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
35%

Draw
29.2%

Yokohama FC
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.4%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

V Varen Nagasaki - Yokohama FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Yokohama FC will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Harada G. (G) 27. Moyo M. 25. Kushibiki K. 5. Tanaka H. 23. Yoneda S. 17. Akino H. 13. Kato M. 6. Matheus Jesus 8. Masuyama A. 11. Junio E. 33. Kasayanagi T.	21. Ichikawa A. (G) 2. Nduka B. 5. Gabriel 24. Fukumori A. 3. Nakamura T. 4. Yuri Lara 7. Inoue S. 8. Yamane T. 15. Ito S. 13. Ogawa K. 38. Takahashi T.
Substitutes
9. Juanma Delgado 38. Matsuzawa K. 19. Sawada T. 37. Sehata G. 40. Shirai H. 21. Wakahara T. (G) 24. Yamada R.	10. Caprini 22. Iwatake K. 20. Murata T. 1. Nagai K. (G) 14. Nakano Y. 9. Sakuragawa S. 6. Wada T.
Coaches
Shimotaira T.	Yomoda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Junio E. ⚽, Kato M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nakamura T. ↓, Murata T. ↑,
46', Ogawa K. ↓, Caprini ↑,
64', Kasayanagi T. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
71', Junio E. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
72', Matheus Jesus ↓, Sawada T. ↑,
72', Inoue S. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
75', Nduka B. 🟨,
80', Caprini 🟨,
82', Ito S. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
86', Yuri Lara ↓, Wada T. ↑,
90', Akino H. ↓, Yamada R. ↑,
90', Kato M. ↓, Sehata G. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 1.

V-Varen Nagasaki in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Yokohama FC is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

V-Varen Nagasaki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-18.

Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
13.04.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokushima Vortis	6:1 ✺
07.04.24	Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:4 ✺
03.04.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Tochigi - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWT
- Yokohama FC
Japan J2 League
14.04.24	Yokohama FC - Fujieda MYFC	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Yokohama FC - Iwaki	2:2 ✺
03.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Yokohama FC - Vegalta Sendai	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Kagoshima United - Yokohama FC	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.09.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Yokohama FC	0:2
27.02.22	Yokohama FC - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
03.11.19	Yokohama FC - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0
24.02.19	V-Varen Nagasaki - Yokohama FC	1:0
22.07.17	Yokohama FC - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1
04.03.17	V-Varen Nagasaki - Yokohama FC	1:1
08.10.16	Yokohama FC - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2

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