Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Elisa Stadion (Vaasa)

Referee: Roth M. (Fin)


	VPS Vaasa		HIFK

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	8	Watch
	1.27	5.75	9.75
	1.26	5.8	9.5
	1.25	5.8	9.4
	1.29	6.11	10.25
	1.24	5.25	10
	1.24	6.15	11	Watch
	1.25	5.8	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.44)	5.9 ↑ (4.32)	9.66 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VPS Vaasa
74.5%

Draw
15.9%

HIFK
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.1%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20.1%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VPS Vaasa's performance.

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HIFK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VPS Vaasa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HIFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

VPS Vaasa - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). HIFK will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches VPS won 2.

Recent matches VPS is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

HIFK has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match VPS is absolute favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches VPS won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24-22.

Including matches at home between the teams VPS won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.09.22	Lahti - VPS Vaasa	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	2:3 ✺
11.09.22	VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	SJK - VPS Vaasa	2:0 ✺
28.08.22	VPS Vaasa - HIFK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLT
- HIFK
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.09.22	HIFK - Ilves	1:5 ✺
18.09.22	Oulu - HIFK	4:1 ✺
11.09.22	HIFK - Oulu	1:6 ✺
05.09.22	HJK - HIFK	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
31.08.22	HIFK - Inter Turku	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.08.22	VPS Vaasa - HIFK	1:1
18.06.22	HIFK - VPS Vaasa	1:5
06.10.19	VPS Vaasa - HIFK	2:3
31.08.19	VPS Vaasa - HIFK	3:2
31.05.19	HIFK - VPS Vaasa	2:1
29.09.17	VPS Vaasa - HIFK	1:2
09.08.17	HIFK - VPS Vaasa	2:1

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