Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	VVV-Venlo		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.45	Watch
	6.5	5	1.44
	7	4.8	1.43	Watch
	5.8	4.7	1.46
	6.56	4.83	1.49
	6.5	4.6	1.44	Watch
	6.2	4.9	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.37 ↑ (5.52)	4.76 ↑ (4.52)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
14.9%

Draw
19.9%

Feyenoord
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

21%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

12.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Feyenoord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VVV-Venlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (-28.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feyenoord, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	9.1%	54.5%

VVV Venlo - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 16 - 36.4%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 24 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 39.8% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Venlo has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Feyenoord has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (12%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

The competitors look crappy now.

Venlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Feyenoord is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Venlo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eredivisie
05.12.20	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	3:2 ✺
28.11.20	VVV-Venlo - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
21.11.20	Willem II - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
07.11.20	VVV-Venlo - Heracles Almelo	3:2 ✺
31.10.20	Groningen - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLWL
- Feyenoord
UEFA Europa League
10.12.20	Wolfsberger - Feyenoord	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
06.12.20	Feyenoord - Heracles Almelo	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.12.20	Feyenoord - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
29.11.20	Feyenoord - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	CSKA Moscow - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
03.11.19	VVV-Venlo - Feyenoord	0:3
07.04.19	VVV-Venlo - Feyenoord	0:3
06.12.18	Feyenoord - VVV-Venlo	4:1
04.02.18	VVV-Venlo - Feyenoord	1:0
18.11.17	Feyenoord - VVV-Venlo	1:1
Club Friendly
18.07.15	Feyenoord - VVV-Venlo	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
05.04.13	Feyenoord - VVV-Venlo	1:0

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