Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 19

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Waalwijk		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.95	4.25
	1.73	3.93	4.7
	1.71	3.9	4.48	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.2
	1.71	3.84	4.38	Watch
	1.71	3.66	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.63)	3.9 ↓ (4.18)	4.43 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
54.9%

Draw
24%

VVV-Venlo
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

21.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Waalwijk - VVV Venlo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Waalwijk will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 27. Altena J. 3. van Eijma R. 15. Wouters L. 2. Zorgdrager B. 8. van Kaam D. 6. Roemeratoe G. (C) 5. Familia-Castillo J. 7. Cleonise D. 9. Uneken J. 14. Lokesa C.	13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 2. Mokono S. 16. Heise P. 33. Blancquart G. (C) 5. de Blok L. 8. van Oorschot D. 20. Eijgenraam J. 24. Odriss M. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 27. Kromah L. 7. Wehmeyer L.
Substitutes
55. Held N. 29. Kramer M. 17. Kuijpers R. 20. Kuster H. 13. Mulder X. (G) 24. Panneflek O. 35. Postma L. 21. Schaapman M. 11. van der Leij T. 10. van der Venne R. 31. Vogels L. (G) 25. Witteveen M.	31. Davis M. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 25. Foor N. 45. Janssen T. 15. Joosten T. 14. Reinders T. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 18. van Zijl B. 3. Verheij L. 9. Zandbergen D.
Coaches
Duits S.	Uneken P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', van Eijma R. 🟨,
27', Odriss M. 🟨,
31', Blancquart G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
46', Mokono S. ↓, Davis M. ↑,
51', Zorgdrager B. ↓, Kuster H. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Eijgenraam J. ⚽, Odriss M. (A),
63', Kromah L. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
64', Cleonise D. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
74', Davis M. 🟨,
76', van Oorschot D. ↓, Zandbergen D. ↑,
76', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
81', van Kaam D. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
81', Lokesa C. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
82', Altena J. 🟨,
85', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Reinders T. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Uneken J. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, van Zijl B. ⚽, Zandbergen D. (A),
90+4', van Zijl B. 🟨,
90+7', van Zijl B. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.

Recent performances by Waalwijk have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Venlo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Waalwijk is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: van Gelderen L. (Knock)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.12.25	Jong PSV - Waalwijk	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	FC Oss - Waalwijk	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	1:4 ✺
02.11.25	Emmen - Waalwijk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTLT
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.11.25	VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag	0:3 ✺
24.11.25	Almere City - VVV-Venlo	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	VVV-Venlo - Willem II	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
08.05.21	VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk	3:3
05.12.20	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	3:2
25.01.20	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	1:2
03.08.19	VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk	3:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.04.17	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	1:2
28.11.16	VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk	4:0
14.03.16	VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk	4:3

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