Match Info

Date: 26 November 2020, Thursday


	CSKA Moscow		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.6
	1.95	3.75	3.7
	2	3.85	3.7
	1.92	3.65	3.65
	1.95	3.89	3.75
	1.95	3.6	3.7
	2.02	3.92	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	3.77 ↑ (3.53)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Moscow
48.8%

Draw
25.4%

Feyenoord
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.9%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

18%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSKA Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Feyenoord could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

CSKA Moscow - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 40 - 66.7%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 10 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 54.8% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

CSKA has a chance of round of 32 (46%), has a chance of round of 16 (21%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Feyenoord has a chance of round of 32 (45%), has a chance of round of 16 (16%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches CSKA is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Feyenoord is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

CSKA will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches CSKA won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League
22.11.20	CSKA Moscow - Sochi	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Feyenoord - CSKA Moscow	3:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.11.20	Rotor - CSKA Moscow	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLWT
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
22.11.20	Fortuna Sittard - Feyenoord	1:3 ✺
08.11.20	Feyenoord - Groningen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Feyenoord - CSKA Moscow	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.11.20	Emmen - Feyenoord	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Feyenoord - Wolfsberger	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Feyenoord - CSKA Moscow	3:1

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