Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	16:30	ESPN


	Dordrecht		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.60	2.55	Watch
	2.40	3.60	2.45
	2.63	3.55	2.23	Watch
	2.50	3.74	2.62
	2.46	3.74	2.56	Watch
	2.45	3.70	2.55
	2.46	3.62	2.48	Watch
	2.44	3.60	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.98)	3.64 ↓ (3.91)	2.49 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
37.4%

Draw
25.4%

VVV-Venlo
37.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

23.9%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

23.7%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dordrecht's performance.

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VVV-Venlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dordrecht that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VVV-Venlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dordrecht - VVV Venlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Venlo will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Venlo (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 50%). Venlo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Coremans T. (G) 22. van Aken J. 4. Pinas J. (C) 3. Henderikx S. 5. Mpanzu B. 8. Vugts S. 6. Riccio L. 10. Ouarghi A. 21. Vetkal M. 11. Rossi N. 9. de Bie J.	13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 14. Vullers R. 4. Clancy E. 33. Blancquart G. 5. de Blok L. (C) 8. M'hand I. 6. Verstraeten A. 19. Janssen T. 24. Odriss M. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 17. Schmidt L. G.
Substitutes
14. Bae S. 29. Felicia N. 51. Gardenier L. 44. Hardley B. 13. Hogervorst D. (G) 2. Lechkar A. 17. Lenz R. 15. M'Bemba Y. 1. Oldenstam F. (G) 16. Roman L. 18. van Asten R. 23. Woudenberg L.	31. Davis M. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 35. el Anbri Y. 21. Gorlich L. 43. Hendrix D. 15. Joosten T. 34. Rais A. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 9. Tsigkas M. 47. van Grootel M.
Coaches
Nuijten P.	Dijkhuizen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Janssen T. ⚽, Odriss M. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Clancy E. ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, M'hand I. ⚽, Odriss M. (A),
36', Vullers R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Vugts S. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑,
46', Rossi N. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
50', 0 - 4, de Blok L. ⚽,
56', 1 - 4, Riccio L. ⚽, van Asten R. (A),
58', Mpanzu B. 🟨,
61', Mpanzu B. ↓, Gardenier L. ↑,
71', Janssen T. ↓, Rais A. ↑,
71', de Blok L. ↓, Davis M. ↑,
75', de Bie J. ↓, Felicia N. ↑,
76', Riccio L. 🟨,
78', M'hand I. 🟨,
80', Vullers R. ↓, Gorlich L. ↑,
80', Schmidt L. G. ↓, Tsigkas M. ↑,
84', van Aken J. ↓, Lenz R. ↑,
87', Clancy E. ↓, Joosten T. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 4, Lenz R. ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 18th and 2nd in the Promotion - Eredivisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4.

In recent outings, Dordrecht has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Venlo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dordrecht may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Doubtful / questionable for Dordrecht: Artic T. (Injury) Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Raatsie C. (Hand Injury) Venema N. (Groin Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury).

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Dordrecht has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:25 (averaging 1.9:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dordrecht against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 20:6 goals (averaging 2.2:0.7 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Venlo	12	8	1	3	34:20	14	25
18	Dordrecht	12	3	2	7	16:31	-15	11

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Venlo: 10.44% Dordrecht: 0.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Dordrecht - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.37%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.10.26	Jong PSV - Dordrecht	0:1 ✺
09.10.26	Dordrecht - Emmen	0:3 ✺
03.10.26	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Dordrecht - Almere City	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	FC Oss - Dordrecht	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTWL
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.10.26	VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:4 ✺
09.10.26	Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo	0:3 ✺
04.10.26	VVV-Venlo - Roda	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Volendam - VVV-Venlo	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.12.25	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	3:1
03.10.25	Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo	2:0
14.03.25	Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo	4:0
18.10.24	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	2:3
16.02.24	Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo	1:0
08.12.23	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	3:1
17.02.23	Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo	1:2

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