Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Covebo Stadion - De Koel (Venlo)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	VVV-Venlo		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	1.71	4	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.7	3.95
	1.81	3.85	4.43
	1.83	3.48	4.24	Watch
	1.81	3.84	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.66)	3.77 ↓ (4.4)	4.16 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
52.4%

Draw
24.9%

MVV Maastricht
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

21.4%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

20.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

VVV Venlo - MVV Maastricht Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Venlo (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Venlo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 31. Davis M. 33. Blancquart G. (C) 15. Joosten T. 16. Heise P. 20. Eijgenraam J. 10. Triep J. 24. Odriss M. 26. Matoug N. 18. van Zijl B. 11. Ait Mouhou N.	1. Westerveld S. (G) 32. Tran L. M. 22. Breugelmans I. 3. Dicke F. 34. Schenk L. 7. Camil Mmaee 8. Van Dessel S. 38. Klaasen R. 14. Kuipers M. 9. Braken S. 10. Silva Timas I.
Substitutes
5. de Blok L. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 25. Foor N. 30. Kessels R. 6. Kluskens J. 46. Korsten K. 27. Kromah L. 2. Mokono S. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 8. van Oorschot D. 3. Verheij L. 7. Wehmeyer L.	21. Asante D. 4. Coomans W. 6. El Basri N. 27. Foubert L. 2. Francis S. 40. Geerinck R. (G) 39. Sy K. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 26. van Kempen M. 11. Verheijen T. 24. Zaian A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Matoug N. 🟨,
37', Dicke F. 🟨,
40', Dicke F. ↓, Coomans W. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kuipers M. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
51', Braken S. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
60', Van Dessel S. 🟨,
60', Triep J. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
60', van Zijl B. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
64', van Oorschot D. 🟨,
69', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
69', Odriss M. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
73', Silva Timas I. 🟨,
77', Camil Mmaee ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
78', Eijgenraam J. ↓, de Blok L. ↑,
78', Davis M. ↓, Mokono S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Mokono S. ⚽,
90+2', Van Dessel S. ↓, Asante D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.

Venlo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maastricht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Venlo is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:12. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.09.25	FC Oss - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Cambuur - VVV-Venlo	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	VVV-Venlo - Roda	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	VVV-Venlo - Jong PSV	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.09.25	MVV Maastricht - Den Bosch	2:4 ✺
12.09.25	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	De Graafschap - MVV Maastricht	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	MVV Maastricht - Dordrecht	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.02.25	VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht	0:0
13.10.24	MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo	2:0
10.05.24	MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo	2:0
13.08.23	VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht	1:3
03.03.23	MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo	0:1
11.12.22	VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht	2:1
04.02.22	MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo	0:5

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