The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Ajax 33.2%
Draw 23%
VVV-Venlo 43.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
23.3%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
23%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Jong Ajax - VVV Venlo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th and 3rd in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Venlo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Jong Ajax has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:28 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jong Ajax against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 22:14 goals (averaging 2.4:1.6 per game).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Venlo: 6.31% Jong Ajax: 0.32%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Venlo
9
6
0
3
23:14
9
18
17
Jong Ajax
9
2
2
5
13:22
-9
8
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Ajax - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.04%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.