The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 18.3%
Draw 21.7%
Cambuur 60.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24%
26.1%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
25.3%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.
Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambuur's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambuur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
25%
62.5%
MVV Maastricht - Cambuur Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cambuur will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 29% โ 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Cambuur (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Westerveld S. (C) 32. Tran L. M. 22. Breugelmans I. 4. Coomans W. 34. Schenk L. 31. Kleinen M. 38. Klaasen R. 29. Silva Timas I. 6. El Basri N. 14. Kuipers M. 9. Braken S.
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 7. Balk R. 10. Diemers M. (C) 20. Visser D. 26. Ferrah I. 18. Rolke T. 11. Sjostrand O.
Substitutes
21. Asante D. 7. Camil Mmaee 3. Dicke F. 27. Foubert L. 2. Francis S. 39. Sy K. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 8. Van Dessel S. 26. van Kempen M. 11. Verheijen T. 24. Zaian A.
3. Berkhout J. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 31. Kalisvaart M. 27. Kooistra W. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 46. Nap J. 8. Souren N. 14. van der Sande J. 30. van der Veen Y. 9. Visser K.
Coaches
Hermans E.
de Jong H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Diemers M. ⚽, Balk R. (A),
26', Kleinen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Visser D. 🟨,
58', Coomans W. 🟨,
62', Rolke T. ↓, van der Sande J. ↑,
62', Visser D. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
66', Sjostrand O. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
68', Kleinen M. ↓, Van Dessel S. ↑,
68', Klaasen R. ↓, Camil Mmaee ↑,
69', El Basri N. 🟨,
74', Braken S. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
82', El Basri N. ↓, Dicke F. ↑,
82', Kuipers M. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
84', Diemers M. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
84', Ferrah I. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
86', Asante D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 0.
Maastricht is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cambuur is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Maastricht has had a series of away games.
In this match, Cambuur is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).