The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bellinzona 44.8%
Draw 27.1%
Baden 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
24.8%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
23.7%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bellinzona's form might have worsened.
Baden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baden's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bellinzona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baden than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Bellinzona - Baden Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Bellinzona will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Iacobucci A. (G) 2. Lamy H. 34. Sauter I. 37. Sorensen A. 91. Mihajlovic D. 11. Tosetti M. 18. Mahmoud A. 8. Centinaro T. 10. Chacon T. 19. Samba T. 99. Pollero R.
1. Spycher T. (G) 43. Gloor F. 2. Pachonik T. 8. Franek C. 5. Isufi E. 15. Dzonlagic O. 7. Zumberi L. 44. Hanke M. 10. Laski R. 23. Spielmann M. 27. Giampa D.
Substitutes
23. Alounga Y. 25. Dieye M. 17. Dixon F. 6. Maressa T. 47. Miranda S. 1. Muci A. (G) 21. Neelakandan R. 22. Pugliese V. 71. Vishi L.
14. Brack J. 6. Cirelli S. 28. Eraslan E. 13. Fontana J. 26. Furrer G. 18. Mossi A. (G) 4. Muff P. 22. Romano D. 11. Wiskemann M.
Coaches
Benavente M.
Winsauer M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Sorensen A. ⚽, Chacon T. (A),
12', Mihajlovic D. 🟨,
23', Laski R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Sauter I. ⚽, Tosetti M. (A),
65', 3 - 0, Pollero R. ⚽, Chacon T. (A),
66', Laski R. ↓, Romano D. ↑,
66', Hanke M. ↓, Furrer G. ↑,
66', Dzonlagic O. ↓, Fontana J. ↑,
73', Samba T. ↓, Vishi L. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Pollero R. ⚽, Tosetti M. (A),
76', Spielmann M. ↓, Wiskemann M. ↑,
76', Giampa D. ↓, Brack J. ↑,
81', Mihajlovic D. ↓, Miranda S. ↑,
81', Chacon T. ↓, Pugliese V. ↑,
81', Pollero R. ↓, Alounga Y. ↑,
85', Tosetti M. ↓, Dieye M. ↑,
Preview
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
In this match Bellinzona is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Bellinzona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
Watch
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Iacobucci A. (G) 
Lamy H. 
Sauter I. 
Mahmoud A. 
Chacon T. 
Pachonik T. 
Dieye M. 
Eraslan E. 
Mossi A. (G) 
Benavente M. 
Winsauer M. 
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