Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Rheinpark Stadion (Vaduz)

Referee: Ghaltakhchyan A. (Arm)


	Vaduz		St Patricks Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	3.8	Watch
	1.71	3.8	4
	1.7	4	4.3
	1.8	4.09	4.2
	1.72	4.16	4.09	Watch
	1.74	3.94	4.26	Watch
	1.7	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.58)	4 ↓ (4.03)	4.14 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaduz
54%

Draw
23.4%

St Patricks Athletic
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.8%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

22.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaduz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vaduz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	20%	33.3%

Vaduz - St Patricks Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vaduz will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). St Patricks will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vaduz: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Schaffran L. (G) 14. Beeli M. 6. Simani D. 5. Berisha L. 4. Hasler N. (C) 11. Del Toro D. 8. Wieser S. 10. Emini L. 23. Cavegn F. 19. Navarro J. 7. Schwizer D.	94. Anang J. (G) 21. Sjoberg A. 4. Redmond J. (C) 5. Grivosti T. 3. Breslin A. 6. Lennon J. 17. Palmer R. 8. Forrester C. 26. Elbouzedi Z. 9. Melia M. 20. Mulraney J.
Substitutes
1. Buchel B. (G) 29. De Donno J. 22. Eberhard M. 26. Hammerich M. 20. Luchinger S. 2. Mertens J. 21. Oehri T. (G) 27. Stober F. 15. Weber S.	16. Bolger A. 43. Hall S. (G) 14. Kavanagh B. 12. Kavanagh C. 30. Kazeem A. 22. Keeley C. 10. Leavy K. 11. McClelland J. 23. McLaughlin R. 19. Nolan A. 1. Rogers D. (G) 24. Turner L.
Coaches
Schneider M.	Kenny S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Cavegn F. (Pen),
28', 1 - 1, Elbouzedi Z. ⚽, Mulraney J. (A),
36', Simani D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Forrester C. ↓, Bolger A. ↑,
63', Mulraney J. ↓, Kazeem A. ↑,
63', Elbouzedi Z. ↓, Leavy K. ↑,
67', Navarro J. ↓, De Donno J. ↑,
70', Anang J. 🟨,
71', Bolger A. 🟨,
72', Beeli M. ↓, Mertens J. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽,
77', Cavegn F. 🟨,
78', Hasler N. ↓, Hammerich M. ↑,
78', Emini L. ↓, Eberhard M. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Palmer R. ⚽,
85', Melia M. ↓, Kavanagh C. ↑,
85', Palmer R. ↓, McClelland J. ↑,
90+1', Sjoberg A. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

Vaduz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches St Patricks is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vaduz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vaduz is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vaduz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vaduz
Swiss Challenge League
28.07.24	Thun - Vaduz	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	St Patricks Athletic - Vaduz	3:1 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
21.07.24	Vaduz - Stade Nyonnais	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Vaduz - St. Gallen	0:1 ✺
05.07.24	Swarovski Tirol - Vaduz	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTLW
- St Patricks Athletic
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	St Patricks Athletic - Vaduz	3:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
21.07.24	Derry City - St Patricks Athletic	3:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
04.07.24	Waterford - St Patricks Athletic	1:0 ✺
28.06.24	St Patricks Athletic - Bohemians Dublin	0:0 ✺
13.06.24	St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	St Patricks Athletic - Vaduz	3:1

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