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Current Win Probability
Valenciennes 19%
Draw 32.4%
Ajaccio 48.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
32.1%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
31.9%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.
Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajaccio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valenciennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajaccio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
56.5%
11.3%
32.3%
Valenciennes - Ajaccio Predictions
Users Predictions:
62 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 35 - 56.5%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 20 - 32.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Valenciennes: 44.2% – 68.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Louchet J. (G) 44. Kayi Sanda J. 15. Woudenberg L. 14. Cuffaut J. (C) 24. Linguet A. 59. Foe Ondoa M. 8. Banse S. 3. Basse S. 10. Venema N. 96. Flamarion 18. Jung A.
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 31. Strata T. 21. Avinel C. 5. Vidal C. 3. Quemper S. 29. Sakhi H. 36. Martinez-Jullien O. 6. Mangani T. (C) 7. Nouri R. 22. Soumano M. 18. Ibayi C.
Substitutes
17. Boutoutaou A. 30. Diabate L. (G) 9. Doucoure S. 34. Lilepo M. 6. Masson J. 13. Moursou J. 90. Oyewusi M.
42. De Bessa J. 41. Fosse A. 10. Jacob V. 35. Khelifa A. 1. Michel M. (G) 33. Toure W. 9. Touzghar Y.
Coaches
Kantari A.
Pantaloni O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Quemper S. 🟨,
30', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
30', Martinez-Jullien O. 🟨,
33', Sollacaro F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez-Jullien O. ↓, Toure W. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Foe Ondoa M. ⚽, Venema N. (A),
52', Banse S. 🟨,
63', Ibayi C. ↓, Jacob V. ↑,
63', Quemper S. ↓, Khelifa A. ↑,
66', Toure W. 🟨,
67', Venema N. ↓, Oyewusi M. ↑,
74', Jung A. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
74', Banse S. ↓, Masson J. ↑,
76', Soumano M. ↓, Touzghar Y. ↑,
85', Nouri R. ↓, Fosse A. ↑,
90', Mangani T. 🟨,
90+4', Flamarion ↓, Moursou J. ↑,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
Valenciennes is Relegated to National
Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 0.
Valenciennes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ajaccio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Ajaccio is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Ajaccio to win the game is with odds 1.94.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-31.
Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.
France
Watch
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Louchet J. (G) 
Woudenberg L. 
Banse S. 
Basse S. 
Flamarion 
Strata T. 
Avinel C. 
Sakhi H. 
Ibayi C. 
Boutoutaou A. 
Diabate L. (G) 
Lilepo M. 
Moursou J. 
Oyewusi M. 
Touzghar Y. 
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