Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Valenciennes		Pau

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.2
	3.3	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.5	3.15	2.31
	3.5	3.12	2.31
	3.25	3.25	2.15
	3.35	3.34	2.21	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.06)	3.2 ↑ (3.16)	2.23 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
28.3%

Draw
29.5%

Pau
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

30.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Valenciennes - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Louchet J. (G) 24. Linguet A. 14. Cuffaut J. (C) 15. Woudenberg L. 3. Basse S. 13. Moursou J. 6. Masson J. 34. Lilepo M. 93. Knockaert A. 96. Flamarion 9. Doucoure S.	1. Kamara B. (G) 4. Kouassi L.X. 5. Sow N. 25. Ruiz J. 6. D'Almeida S. 12. Gaspar J. 8. Saivet H. (C) 27. Mohamed I. 70. Boli C. 10. Boutaib K. 7. Sylla M.
Substitutes
8. Banse S. 30. Diabate L. (G) 59. Foe Ondoa M. 20. Hamache I. 18. Jung A. 44. Kayi Sanda J. 10. Venema N.	11. Bassouamina M. 9. Begraoui Y. 33. Colleaux T. 40. Jeannin M. (G) 18. Ngom O. 30. Njoh Y. 23. Obiang J.
Coaches
Kantari A.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Boutaib K. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
26', Flamarion ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
26', Knockaert A. ↓, Foe Ondoa M. ↑,
26', Doucoure S. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
32', Linguet A. 🟨,
34', Saivet H. 🟨,
43', Mohamed I. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Ruiz J. ⚽, Saivet H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', Mohamed I. ↓, Begraoui Y. ↑,
60', Sow N. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Sylla M. ⚽, Boutaib K. (A),
65', Linguet A. ↓, Kayi Sanda J. ↑,
69', Boli C. ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
69', D'Almeida S. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
71', Masson J. ↓, Banse S. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Foe Ondoa M. ⚽, Banse S. (A),
83', 1 - 4, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
83', Gaspar J. ↓, Colleaux T. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 1.

Valenciennes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pau is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pau will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
06.04.24	Annecy - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
02.04.24	Lyon - Valenciennes	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.03.24	Valenciennes - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Guingamp - Valenciennes	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Valenciennes - Angers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
06.04.24	Pau - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Amiens - Pau	2:3 ✺
16.03.24	Pau - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Dunkerque - Pau	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Pau - Caen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Pau - Valenciennes	3:1
13.05.23	Valenciennes - Pau	1:1
17.09.22	Pau - Valenciennes	1:0
26.02.22	Valenciennes - Pau	1:0
18.09.21	Pau - Valenciennes	1:1
15.05.21	Pau - Valenciennes	4:3
22.08.20	Valenciennes - Pau	3:0

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