Match Info

National - Round 26

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
France	BFM Grand Lille, FFF TV
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Concarneau		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.92	3.15
	2.41	2.86	3.51
	2.31	3.02	3.04	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3
	2.29	2.77	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)	2.87 ↓ (3.09)	3.2 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
39.5%

Draw
31.9%

Valenciennes
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

29.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Concarneau - Valenciennes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viot V. (G) 4. Jannez G. (C) 8. Picouleau M. 7. Varvat J. 6. Seba D. 5. Etcheverria B. 11. Soukouna Y. 20. Ntumi M. 23. Goujon L. 26. Sinquin T. 21. Baldoni S.	1. Louchet J. (G) 5. Passi B. 18. Courtet G. 20. Koum Mbondo A. 8. Rouai M. 25. Belloumou S. (C) 14. Raheriniaina E. H. 26. Diomande D. 32. Niakate S. 29. Coeff A. 33. Marechal T.
Substitutes
18. Da Silva F. 10. Gbelle G. 40. Patron P. (G) 25. Seydi A. 9. Tell J.	7. Abi C. 11. Appuah S. 22. Boissier R. 4. Landre L. 13. Takaoka R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Belloumou S. ↓, Boissier R. ↑,
26', Sinquin T. ↓, Gbelle G. ↑,
30', Goujon L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Varvat J. ↓, Da Silva F. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Da Silva F. ⚽, Jannez G. (A),
65', Raheriniaina E. H. ↓, Appuah S. ↑,
65', Diomande D. ↓, Takaoka R. ↑,
76', Marechal T. ↓, Landre L. ↑,
77', Niakate S. ↓, Abi C. ↑,
79', Soukouna Y. ↓, Tell J. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Landre L. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Appuah S. ⚽, Koum Mbondo A. (A),
90+1', Rouai M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).

Concarneau has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valenciennes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Concarneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Concarneau might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Concarneau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	4	16
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Valenciennes - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.52%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
13.03.26	Sochaux - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Concarneau - Dijon	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Fleury 91 - Concarneau	0:4 ✺
20.02.26	Concarneau - Versailles	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Quevilly - Concarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWLL
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
06.03.26	Villefranche - Valenciennes	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Valenciennes - Caen	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Valenciennes - Stade Briochin	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Rouen FC - Valenciennes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
17.10.25	Valenciennes - Concarneau	1:2
21.02.25	Concarneau - Valenciennes	1:1
20.09.24	Valenciennes - Concarneau	3:3
French Ligue 2
03.02.24	Concarneau - Valenciennes	1:0
26.09.23	Valenciennes - Concarneau	0:1

Concarneau - Valenciennes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide