Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Ecuador	DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 4


	Valladolid		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.56	4	5.25	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.85	5.7
	1.61	3.88	6.26
	1.69	3.67	5.01	Watch
	1.64	4.09	5.37	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.53)	3.84 ↓ (4.01)	5.56 ↓ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valladolid
58.7%

Draw
24.4%

Mirandés
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23.4%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

22.8%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Valladolid - Mirandés Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Valladolid (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Valladolid will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. (C) 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 27. Garriel I. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 6. Lachuer M. 22. Peter Federico 7. Canos S. 17. Biuk S. 9. Latasa J.	1. Nikic I. (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 4. Pascual M. 24. Cordoba I. 17. Perez P. 18. Barea Fernandez I. 26. Bauza R. 19. Illesca M. 30. El Jebari S. 9. Petit G.
Substitutes
1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 34. Aranda J. L. 19. Arnuncio A. 3. Bueno G. 20. Chuki 18. Delgado J. 32. Koke 28. Moreno X. 21. Ponceau J. 5. Sanchez J. 2. Trilli	11. Cardero A. 20. Eto'o E. 10. Fernandez C. 6. Helguera T. 13. Juanpa (G) 29. Lopez P. 14. Mari A. 8. Martin Luis A. 3. Medrano F. 5. Pica A. 7. Varela I.
Coaches
Almada G.	Justo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Barea Fernandez I. ⚽, Pascual M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lachuer M. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
46', Perez P. ↓, Medrano F. ↑,
56', Illesca M. 🟨,
66', El Jebari S. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,
66', Illesca M. ↓, Helguera T. ↑,
66', Petit G. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
67', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Chuki ↑,
68', Biuk S. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
68', Canos S. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Ponceau J. ⚽, Tomeo P. (A),
83', Bauza R. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
83', Latasa J. ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valladolid is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Chuki (Injury) Jaouab M. (Injury) Juric S. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury) Maroto M. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Ndiaye A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mirandés: Postigo S. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.25	Valladolid - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Valladolid - Almería	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Valladolid - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTT
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
26.09.25	Mirandés - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	FC Andorra - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Mirandés - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5 ✺
05.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Granada - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.05.24	Mirandés - Valladolid	0:1
08.10.23	Valladolid - Mirandés	3:2
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Mirandés - Valladolid	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
24.04.22	Mirandés - Valladolid	0:1
06.11.21	Valladolid - Mirandés	3:1
21.05.17	Mirandés - Valladolid	2:2
11.12.16	Valladolid - Mirandés	5:0

Upcoming Matches