Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pulido J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	18:30	SuperSport 3
Angola	18:30	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	14:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Belgium	18:30	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	14:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:30	TSN+
Chile	14:30	DirecTV Sports
China	01:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	21:30	Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	01:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	18:30	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	23:00	GXR World
Indonesia	00:30	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	19:30	ONE Sport
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Macao	01:30	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	22:30	ICE Plus
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	11:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	18:30	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:30	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	12:30	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect
Poland	18:30	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 2
Romania	19:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	20:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	01:30	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	02:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	18:30	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Taiwan	01:30	DAZN
Thailand	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	20:30	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:30	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	00:30	SCTV Online
International	17:30	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Valencia		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.4	4.5	8.75
	1.4	4.75	9	Watch
	1.41	4.72	9.32
	1.4	4.6	9.47	Watch
	1.4	4.4	9
	1.42	4.74	9.95	Watch
	1.4	4.75	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)	4.62 ↑ (4.13)	9.12 ↑ (8.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
68.6%

Draw
20.8%

Valladolid
10.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.6%

23.2%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

21.6%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.6%	7.9%	10.5%

Valencia - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: Valencia will win (31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 3. Mosquera C. 15. Tarrega C. 14. Gaya J. (C) 5. Barrenechea E. 8. Guerra J. 22. Rioja L. 10. Almeida A. 16. Lopez D. 12. Sadiq U.	13. Hein K. (G) 2. Perez L. 5. Sanchez J. (C) 3. Torres D. 39. Aznou A. 10. Sanchez I. 8. Grillitsch F. 4. Nikitscher T. 11. Moro R. 14. Latasa J. 9. Marcos Andre
Substitutes
19. Aarons M. 7. Canos S. 4. Diakhaby M. 13. Dimitrievski S. (G) 1. Domenech J. (G) 24. Gasiorowski Y. 6. Guillamon H. 17. Ivan Jaime 11. Mir R. 18. Pepelu 23. Perez F. 21. Vazquez J.	21. Amallah S. 23. Anuar 22. Candela A. 28. Chuki 20. Juric S. 18. Machis D. 6. Ozkacar C. 26. Rafus A. (G) 30. Ruiz R. C. 7. Sylla M. 27. Verde A.
Coaches
Corberan C.	Rubio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽,
8', Grillitsch F. 🟨,
25', Torres D. ↓, Ozkacar C. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Latasa J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Grillitsch F. ↓, Chuki ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Sadiq U. ⚽, Barrenechea E. (A),
65', Marcos Andre ↓, Amallah S. ↑,
66', Latasa J. 🟨,
70', Lopez D. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
70', Guerra J. ↓, Pepelu ↑,
71', Aznou A. ↓, Anuar ↑,
71', Sanchez I. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
71', Latasa J. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
74', Almeida A. ↓, Ivan Jaime ↑,
81', Rioja L. ↓, Canos S. ↑,
84', Gaya J. 🟨,
86', Sanchez J. 🟨,
90+2', Barrenechea E. ↓, Diakhaby M. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valencia won 3.

Recent matches Valencia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valladolid has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valladolid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valencia is certain favorite.

There will not play in Valencia: Correia T. (Knee Injury) Duro H. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Valladolid: Aidoo J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Ferreira A. (Contusion)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Valencia won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:12 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Valencia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:6 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
02.03.25	Osasuna - Valencia	3:3 ✺
22.02.25	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
15.02.25	Villarreal - Valencia	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Valencia - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.02.25	Valencia - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLTWL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Athletic Bilbao - Valladolid	7:1 ✺
16.02.25	Valladolid - Sevilla	0:4 ✺
07.02.25	Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Villarreal - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
13.12.24	Valladolid - Valencia	1:0
27.04.23	Valencia - Valladolid	2:1
29.01.23	Valladolid - Valencia	1:0
09.05.21	Valencia - Valladolid	3:0
10.01.21	Valladolid - Valencia	0:1
07.07.20	Valencia - Valladolid	2:1
21.12.19	Valladolid - Valencia	1:1

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