Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	14:00	K-Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	14:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	14:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	09:00	TSN+
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	17:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	18:30	GXR World
Indonesia	20:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	19:00	Setanta Sports
Laos	20:00	beIN Connect
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	18:00	ICE Plus
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	07:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Setanta Sports
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 3
Romania	15:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	21:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	21:00	DAZN
Tanzania	16:00	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	16:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	13:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	20:00	SCTV Online
International	13:00	Disney+


	Valladolid		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.73	Watch
	5	3.75	1.68
	4.75	3.75	1.78	Watch
	5.3	3.87	1.69
	4.73	3.92	1.71	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.7
	5.05	3.88	1.74	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↓ (5.05)	3.82 ↓ (3.91)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
19.5%

Draw
25.1%

Celta de Vigo
55.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19%

24.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.7%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.2%	9.7%	87.1%

Valladolid - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hein K. (G) 22. Candela A. 15. Comert E. 5. Sanchez J. (C) 39. Aznou A. 8. Grillitsch F. 4. Nikitscher T. 23. Anuar 12. Martin M. 11. Moro R. 7. Sylla M.	13. Guaita V. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 5. Carreira S. 8. Beltran F. 4. Sotelo H. 3. Mingueza O. 10. Aspas I. (C) 12. Gonzalez A. 7. Iglesias B.
Substitutes
21. Amallah S. 29. Arnuncio A. 28. Chuki 20. Juric S. 18. Machis D. 9. Marcos Andre 6. Ozkacar C. 2. Perez L. 26. Rafus A. (G) 30. Ruiz R. C. 10. Sanchez I. 3. Torres D.	23. Alvarez H. 11. Cervi F. 24. Dominguez C. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 16. Jailson 28. Lopez F. 14. Losada I. 6. Moriba I. 21. Ristic M. 25. Rodriguez D. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Rubio A.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Alonso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
63', Grillitsch F. ↓, Chuki ↑,
64', Anuar ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
65', Mingueza O. 🟨,
71', Iglesias B. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
71', Aspas I. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
73', Martin M. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
82', Moro R. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Alonso M. (Pen),
86', Sotelo H. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
86', Gonzalez A. ↓, Losada I. ↑,
90+1', Sylla M. 🟨,
90+1', Candela A. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
90+1', Sylla M. ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,
90+5', Mingueza O. ↓, Jailson ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 1.

Valladolid has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Celta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Celta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Celta is a favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Aidoo J. (Hamstring Injury) Ferreira A. (Contusion) Latasa J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Celta: Swedberg W. (Injury)

There are questionable in Celta: Alvarez H. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:24 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.25	Valencia - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Athletic Bilbao - Valladolid	7:1 ✺
16.02.25	Valladolid - Sevilla	0:4 ✺
07.02.25	Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Leganés	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Girona - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
21.02.25	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Celta de Vigo - Betis	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.09.24	Celta de Vigo - Valladolid	3:1
26.02.23	Celta de Vigo - Valladolid	3:0
19.10.22	Valladolid - Celta de Vigo	4:1
28.02.21	Celta de Vigo - Valladolid	1:1
27.09.20	Valladolid - Celta de Vigo	1:1
17.06.20	Valladolid - Celta de Vigo	0:0
29.11.19	Celta de Vigo - Valladolid	0:0

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