Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN 3, TSN+
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	15:00	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	GXR World
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, J sports 1, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Sky Sport
Mozambique	22:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	01:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Sport Online, Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	04:00	DAZN
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 1, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	01:00	Zor TV
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	SCTV 22, SCTV Online
International	20:00	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia, SportsMax App


	Valladolid		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.5	1.3	Watch
	9.25	5.75	1.3
	10	6	1.3
	10.97	6.12	1.29
	10.39	5.86	1.3	Watch
	10	5.5	1.3
	11	6.23	1.31	Watch
	10	6	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.14 ↑ (8.81)	5.87 ↑ (5.72)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
9.5%

Draw
16.4%

Real Madrid
74.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10.9%

16.8%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

16.3%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	10%	74%

Valladolid - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 8 - 16.7%). Real will win (votes: 37 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 65.2% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hein K. (G) 2. Perez L. 5. Sanchez J. (C) 3. Torres D. 22. Rosa L. 23. Anuar 12. Martin M. 21. Amallah S. 10. Sanchez I. 9. Marcos Andre 7. Sylla M.	1. Courtois T. (G) 35. Asencio R. 14. Tchouameni A. 22. Rudiger A. 20. Garcia F. 19. Ceballos D. 8. Valverde F. (C) 21. Diaz B. 5. Bellingham J. 11. Rodrygo 9. Mbappe K.
Substitutes
29. Arnuncio A. 28. Chuki 1. Ferreira A. (G) 32. Koke 14. Latasa J. 19. Ndiaye A. 6. Ozkacar C. 8. Perez K. 30. Ruiz R. C.	4. Alaba D. 16. Endrick 26. Fran (G) 15. Guler A. 39. Lorenzo 17. Lucas 13. Lunin A. (G) 23. Mendy F. 10. Modric L. 31. Ramon J.
Coaches
Cocca D.	Ancelotti C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Martin M. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
45+2', Bellingham J. 🟨,
45+2', Amallah S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Ceballos D. 🟨,
55', Mbappe K. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Rodrygo (A),
62', Sanchez I. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
68', Ceballos D. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
68', Asencio R. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
73', Rodrygo ↓, Guler A. ↑,
79', Marcos Andre ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
86', Sylla M. ↓, Chuki ↑,
90', Martin M. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 3, Mbappe K. (Pen),
90+2', Mbappe K. ↓, Endrick ↑,
90+3', Valverde F. ↓, Lorenzo ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 0.

Recent matches Valladolid is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valladolid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real have a series of home games.

In this match Real is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Comert E. (Hamstring Injury) Juric S. (Yellow Cards) Moro R. (Broken collarbone)

There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Muscle Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Vinicius Junior (Red Card)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 8:33 (average 0.6:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:12 (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
17.01.25	Espanyol - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Valladolid - Betis	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Ourense CF - Valladolid	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
20.12.24	Girona - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
13.12.24	Valladolid - Valencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLLW
- Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Real Madrid - Red Bull Salzburg	5:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.25	Real Madrid - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	5:2 ET ✺
Spanish Supercopa
12.01.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:5 ✺
09.01.25	Real Madrid - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.08.24	Real Madrid - Valladolid	3:0
02.04.23	Real Madrid - Valladolid	6:0
30.12.22	Valladolid - Real Madrid	0:2
20.02.21	Valladolid - Real Madrid	0:1
30.09.20	Real Madrid - Valladolid	1:0
26.01.20	Valladolid - Real Madrid	0:1
24.08.19	Real Madrid - Valladolid	1:1

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