Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
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Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	TSN+
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China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV2 Play
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France	beIN Connect
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Portugal	DAZN 2
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Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, TUDN
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Rayo Vallecano		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	7.5	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6.75
	1.5	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.51	4.26	7.7
	1.5	4.31	7.22	Watch
	1.44	4	7.5
	1.52	4.43	7.5	Watch
	1.5	4.2	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)	4.21 ↑ (3.94)	7.4 ↑ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
64.2%

Draw
22.8%

Valladolid
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.3%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.9%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.5%	7.3%	12.2%

Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (30 of 38 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.99% – 91.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 16. Mumin A. 3. Chavarria P. 6. Ciss P. 17. Lopez U. 19. de Frutos J. 7. Palazon I. (C) 18. Garcia A. 14. Camello S.	13. Hein K. (G) 22. Candela A. 16. Aidoo J. 5. Sanchez J. (C) 3. Torres D. 4. Nikitscher T. 2. Perez L. 28. Chuki 12. Martin M. 23. Anuar 9. Marcos Andre
Substitutes
20. Balliu I. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 4. Diaz P. 21. Embarba A. 28. Eto'o E. 27. Fernandez P. 12. Guardiola S. 15. Gumbau G. 5. Hernandez A. 22. Pacha 8. Trejo O. 23. Valentin O.	21. Amallah S. 39. Aznou A. 1. Ferreira A. (G) 8. Grillitsch F. 20. Juric S. 32. Koke 14. Latasa J. 18. Machis D. 34. Maroto M. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Sylla M.
Coaches
Perez I.	Cocca D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Ciss P. 🟨,
20', Camello S. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
23', Lopez U. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
29', Marcos Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ciss P. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
56', de Frutos J. 🟨,
58', Sanchez J. ↓, Aznou A. ↑,
66', Chuki ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
69', Aznou A. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽, de Frutos J. (A),
78', Marcos Andre ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
78', Candela A. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
83', de Frutos J. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
83', Palazon I. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 3.

Rayo Vallecano is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valladolid is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rayo Vallecano is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Montiel J. (Ankle Injury) Nteka R. (Yellow Cards) de Tomas R. (Illness)

There will not play in Valladolid: Moro R. (Broken collarbone) Ozkacar C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Comert E. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:30 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
31.01.25	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Rayo Vallecano - Girona	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.25	Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTLW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.25	Villarreal - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
25.01.25	Valladolid - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
17.01.25	Espanyol - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Valladolid - Betis	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Ourense CF - Valladolid	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.10.24	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	1:2
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	3:2
Spanish LaLiga
04.05.23	Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid	2:1
14.01.23	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	0:1
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	3:1
Spanish LaLiga
12.05.19	Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid	1:2
05.01.19	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	0:1

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