Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	UD Ourense		Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.82	2.62
	2.74	2.9	2.65	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.6
	2.7	2.81	2.6
	2.75	2.9	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.79)	2.85 ↓ (2.87)	2.62 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
33.4%

Draw
31.9%

Salamanca
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32.5%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for UD Ourense aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

UD Ourense - Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Prado S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In recent matches, UD Ourense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salamanca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Salamanca - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Sámano - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	UD Ourense - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	UD Ourense - Numancia	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Lealtad - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLLW
- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Salamanca - Langreo	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Lealtad - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Salamanca - Real Oviedo B	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Rayo Cantabria - Salamanca	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Salamanca - Burgos Promesas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	Salamanca - UD Ourense	1:0

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