Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Romelio Martinez (Barranquilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Barranquilla		Leones

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.6
	1.97	3.28	3.93
	1.93	3.42	3.85	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.6
	1.9	3.2	3.83	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	3.74 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barranquilla
47.3%

Draw
28.3%

Leones
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.7%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

23.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barranquilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Barranquilla - Leones Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Barranquilla will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Leones will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 8. Bolivar M. 6. Caballero S. 25. Carabali Lopez M. B. 3. Cassiani O. 27. Correa F. 26. Moreno 21. Orozco A. 23. Oviedo P. 19. Penate C. 7. Torres	1. Holguin C. (G) 27. Castano J. 6. Fruto R. 17. Gonzalez A. 28. Hincapie Ossa J. F. 33. Lopez Posada I. 8. Martinez J. 5. Meneses G. 18. Restrepo N. 7. Rodriguez Cespedes C. 20. Ruiz J.
Substitutes
12. Acosta Almeida J. L. (G) 16. Agamez M. 15. Borja S. 20. Cortez J. 17. Garcia Garces Y. D. 18. Lozano J. 14. Mosquera W. 10. Ortiz Javier 35. Riascos A.	12. Arboleda M. 3. Marmolejo D. 13. Moreno D. 32. Pasos E. 15. Pena J. 16. Renteria J. 14. Rios A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Carabali Lopez M. B. ⚽,
25', Penate C. 🟨,
35', Hincapie Ossa J. F. 🟨,
45+2', Correa F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hincapie Ossa J. F. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
46', Castano J. ↓, Pena J. ↑,
46', Torres D. ↓, Garcia Garces Y. D. ↑,
57', Orozco A. 🟨,
65', Penate C. ↓, Lozano J. ↑,
65', Bolivar M. ↓, Ortiz Javier ↑,
65', Restrepo N. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
65', Gonzalez A. ↓, Pasos E. ↑,
70', Oviedo P. ↓, Agamez M. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Agamez M. ⚽,
74', Renteria J. 🟨,
75', Caballero S. 🟨,
78', Caballero S. ↓, Cortez J. ↑,
81', 🟨,
86', Pena J. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
86', Orozco A. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Lozano J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barranquilla won 1.

In recent matches, Barranquilla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leones has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Barranquilla is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barranquilla won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:35. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barranquilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.8:1.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Leones	11	2	4	5	8:17	-9	10
16	Barranquilla	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Primera B
21.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
16.03.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:3 ✺
26.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTLLW
- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
20.03.26	Leones - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Leones	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Leones - Envigado	0:3 ✺
03.03.26	Atlético Cali - Leones	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Leones - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
04.08.25	Leones - Barranquilla	2:2
24.02.25	Barranquilla - Leones	2:3
10.10.24	Leones - Barranquilla	1:2
16.02.24	Barranquilla - Leones	2:2
26.09.23	Leones - Barranquilla	2:0
19.04.23	Barranquilla - Leones	2:3
08.08.22	Barranquilla - Leones	3:1

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