Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Round 24

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Hamrun Spartans		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.6	7.25
	1.35	4.75	7	Watch
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.33	4.82	8.25
	1.33	4.6	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	4.65 ↓ (4.85)	7.42 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
68.2%

Draw
19.5%

Santa Lucia
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

18%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Marchetti F. (G) 27. Bjelicic O. 4. Borg S. (C) 28. Corbalan J. 25. Eder 14. Elionay 98. Jonny 42. Krstic N. 10. Mbong J. 7. Montebello L. 30. Paintsil S.	12. Celio (G) 15. Bradshaw A. 3. Ellul M. 6. Letherby D. 21. Moracci S. 18. Mrdja A. 27. Piazza A. 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S. 20. Virano G. 55. Xerri S.
Substitutes
21. Agius S. 9. Bugeja F. 94. Camenzuli R. 17. Nenov Y. 33. Rutjens C. 5. Scicluna K. 31. Tom (G) 77. Vella G. 3. Vella K. 92. Zammit T. 19. Zerafa J.	16. Formosa C. (G) 80. Gomes E. 9. Mensah G. 10. Nagamatsu T. 4. Ogouvide A. 22. Oliveira C. 33. Patrick 19. Tanti J. 29. Valletta J. 1. Vella D. (G) 14. Xuereb D.
Coaches
Zauri L.	Zinnari A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Corbalan J. ↓, Camenzuli R. ↑,
16', 1 - 0, Montebello L. ⚽,
45', Moracci S. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Paintsil S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 3 - 0, Jonny (Pen),
53', Ellul M. ↓, Patrick ↑,
53', Pisani S. ↓, Gomes E. ↑,
54', Xerri S. ↓, Xuereb D. ↑,
59', Moracci S. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
61', Patrick 🟨,
65', 3 - 1, Piazza A. ⚽,
73', Bradshaw A. ↓, Nagamatsu T. ↑,
76', Gomes E. 🟨,
76', Montebello L. ↓, Rutjens C. ↑,
83', Elionay 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟥,
90+5', 4 - 1, (Pen),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamrun won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hamrun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hamrun is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hamrun won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamrun won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League
13.04.24	Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	2:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
30.03.24	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	3:2 penalties ✺
Maltese Premier League
16.03.24	Hamrun Spartans - Marsaxlokk	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Mosta - Hamrun Spartans	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLW
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
12.04.24	Santa Lucia - Marsaxlokk	0:3 ✺
07.04.24	Mosta - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Santa Lucia - Valletta	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Sliema Wanderers - Santa Lucia	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Santa Lucia - Sirens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
17.12.23	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	1:3
15.04.23	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	1:1
04.12.22	Hamrun Spartans - Santa Lucia	2:0
06.03.22	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	0:1
28.11.21	Hamrun Spartans - Santa Lucia	3:0
24.01.21	Hamrun Spartans - Santa Lucia	2:2
27.09.20	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	1:4

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