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Current Win Probability
Naxxar Lions 9.8%
Draw 18%
Valletta 72.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
25.3%
54.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
25%
55.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naxxar Lions's form might have worsened.
Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valletta's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-17%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valletta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
0%
71.4%
Naxxar Lions - Valletta Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Naxxar will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Valletta will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Debono M. (G) 20. Costa Goncalves G. 10. Farias E. (C) 30. Guehi S. 5. Gustavo Felipe 33. Joao Moura 22. Kontchou C. 18. Letherby D. 8. Pace Cocks N. 4. Theo Kruger 24. Vinicius Baiano
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 33. Mbende E. 44. Micallef N. 10. Paiber B. (C) 55. Radic S. 19. Tavares D. 77. Thaylor 20. Yankam Y. 50. Yuri 8. Zammit A.
Substitutes
80. Azzopardi J. (G) 26. Borg J. 17. Bugeja F. 13. Bugeja S. 7. Fenech M. 14. Gauci C. 21. Micallef M. 15. Montero Y. 25. Portelli O. 16. Sanchez E. 99. Vella A. (G)
29. Adebayo A. 1. Archibald J. (G) 4. Borg S. 28. Brewer S. 3. Ellul M. 5. Formosa K. 24. Grech M. P. 18. James L. 99. Meijer S. 31. Melillo T. 98. Mendoza J.
Coaches
Muscat W.
Micallef T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Tavares D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Zammit A. ↓, Adebayo A. ↑,
55', Yankam Y. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
63', Thaylor 🟥,
64', Yuri ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
68', Letherby D. ↓, Bugeja S. ↑,
81', Kontchou C. ↓, Montero Y. ↑,
86', Paiber B. ↓, Brewer S. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Pace Cocks N. ⚽,
90+1', Mbende E. 🟨,
90+9', Pace Cocks N. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2.
In recent matches, Naxxar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Valletta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Naxxar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Valletta has had a series of home games.
In this match, Valletta is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
Malta
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Debono M. (G) 
Costa Goncalves G. 
Guehi S. 
Kontchou C. 
Mbende E. 
Radic S. 
Tavares D. 
Thaylor 
Montero Y. 
Sanchez E. 
Adebayo A. 
Archibald J. (G) 
Brewer S. 
Meijer S. 
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