Match Info

LATVIA: Virsliga - Round 23

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs (Valmiera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	TV4
World	Onefootball app


	Valmiera		Grobiņa

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.75	11.5
	1.12	8	17
	1.17	6.55	11.67
	1.14	7.51	13.16	Watch
	1.08	7.5	19
	1.09	8.1	17	Watch
	1.15	7.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.3)	7.52 ↑ (5)	14.48 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valmiera
81.4%

Draw
12.2%

Grobiņa
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

18.4%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

18.9%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valmiera's performance.

Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valmiera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Valmiera - Grobiņa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Valmiera will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Oss D. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 19. Gueye D. (C) 34. Korobenko A. 27. Birka E. 10. Vapne L. 22. Diop M. 14. Varslavans R. 29. Bahamboula J. 24. Ndoye A. 32. Cepelevs N.	1. Malysh A. (G) 11. Tumanovs A. 3. Druzinins D. 7. Krautmanis J. 12. Melkis R. 4. Mammadzade N. 6. Manga H. 22. Machado D. 10. Dobrecovs D. (C) 17. Gaucis R. 44. Sdaigui Z.
Substitutes
15. Cesnieks K. 17. Duke C. 18. Dusaliejvs N. 7. Gustavo 8. Kawasaki S. 1. Olses C. (G) 41. Omori Y. 77. Porsan-Clemente J. 4. Veips R.	13. Dzerins R. 8. Knapsis E. 32. Pincuks N. (G) 2. Raihs M. 14. Rupeiks K. 40. Samietis R. 28. Stuglis I.
Coaches
Kalnins G.	Dobrecovs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Gueye D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Cepelevs N. ↓, Veips R. ↑,
60', Vapne L. 🟨,
65', Bahamboula J. ↓, Porsan-Clemente J. ↑,
65', Diop M. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
71', Machado D. ↓, Knapsis E. ↑,
74', Melkis R. 🟨,
82', Gueye D. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
83', Dobrecovs D. 🟨,
84', Sdaigui Z. ↓, Rupeiks K. ↑,
86', Gaucis R. ↓, Stuglis I. ↑,
90+3', Knapsis E. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).

Valmiera is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Grobiņa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valmiera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Valmiera is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Valmiera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Valmiera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK
Latvian Cup
14.07.24	Tukums 2000 - Valmiera	2:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
06.07.24	Auda Riga - Valmiera	0:1 ✺
02.07.24	Valmiera - Riga	2:2 ✺
26.06.24	RFS - Valmiera	4:1 ✺
20.06.24	Valmiera - Metta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTLW
- Grobiņas SC
Latvian Cup
12.07.24	Leevon PPK - Grobiņa	2:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
08.07.24	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	2:1 ✺
02.07.24	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	0:1 ✺
27.06.24	Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	Grobiņa - Riga	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
20.05.24	Grobiņa - Valmiera	0:2
09.04.24	Valmiera - Grobiņa	1:1

Upcoming Matches