Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Sarpugerði (Gota)

Referee: Koppel K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Víkingur Gøta		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.90	2.10	Watch
	3.00	3.60	2.05
	2.70	4.00	2.20	Watch
	2.87	3.76	2.14
	3.16	2.73	2.59	Watch
	2.75	3.70	2.11
	2.78	4.13	2.22	Watch
	2.85	3.75	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (5.65)	3.7 ↓ (4.72)	2.2 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Víkingur Gøta
32.7%

Draw
25.1%

Stjarnan
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

19.5%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

19.5%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Víkingur Gøta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Víkingur Gøta's performance.

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stjarnan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Víkingur Gøta than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Víkingur Gøta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stjarnan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	7.1%	64.3%

Víkingur Gøta - Stjarnan Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Víkingur Gøta will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stjarnan: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stjarnan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reynatrod B. (G) 24. Olavsson J. 18. Svensson A. 29. Arngrimsson I. 14. Jonhardsson I. 8. Ellingsgaard A. 6. Brandsson A. 17. Benjaminsen A. 10. Vatnhamar S. (C) 9. Nielsen J. 7. Johansen J.	12. Olafsson A. (G) 32. Orvarsson O. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 3. Kjeldsen G. 4. Thorisson T. 7. Eggertsson O. 18. Nokkvason G. 8. Gunnarsson J. 23. Waren B. 22. Atlason E. 11. Ingason B.
Substitutes
77. Bartalsstovu K. L. 34. Djordjevic F. 27. Hansen R. 26. Jarnskor F. 19. Jarnskor J. 23. Thomsen N. (G) 5. Vilhelmsen J.	83. Beic D. (G) 1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 99. Bjarnason A. 37. Bjornsson B. 17. Brink H. O. 27. Dankerlui D. 29. Hauksson A. 14. Hauksson B. 30. Martin M. A. D. 10. Matthiasson D.
Coaches
Poulsen J.	Hauksson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Kristjansson G. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
40', Kjeldsen G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 1 - 0, Benjaminsen A. ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, Vatnhamar S. ⚽, Jonhardsson I. (A),
67', 2 - 1, Ingason B. ⚽,
68', Ingason B. ↓, Matthiasson D. ↑,
70', Thorisson T. 🟨,
80', Brandsson A. ↓, Bartalsstovu K. L. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Nokkvason G. ⚽,
87', Orvarsson O. 🟨,
87', Eggertsson O. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
87', Thorisson T. ↓, Hauksson B. ↑,
87', Atlason E. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
88', Arngrimsson I. 🟨,
90', Ellingsgaard A. ↓, Jarnskor J. ↑,
90+2', Benjaminsen A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Víkingur Gøta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Víkingur Gøta
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Stjarnan - Víkingur Gøta	3:1 ✺
Faroe Islands Premier League
04.07.26	B36 Torshavn - Víkingur Gøta	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Víkingur Gøta - NSÍ Runavík	3:3 ✺
Faroe Islands Cup
25.06.26	Víkingur Gøta - HB Tórshavn	4:0 ✺
Faroe Islands Premier League
19.06.26	Víkingur Gøta - KÍ Klaksvík	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTWT
- UMF Stjarnan
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Stjarnan - Víkingur Gøta	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.07.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan	2:2 ✺
28.06.26	Stjarnan - KA Akureyri	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Stjarnan - Víkingur Gøta	3:1

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