Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: BC Place (Vancouver, BC)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN 4
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Vancouver Whitecaps		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3
	2.22	3.45	3.15
	2.27	3.6	3.22
	1.86	3.83	3.77	Watch
	2.18	3.81	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.07)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	3.23 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vancouver Whitecaps
44.3%

Draw
26.2%

Philadelphia Union
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Vancouver Whitecaps - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vancouver: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Philadelphia (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Takaoka Y. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 33. Blackmon T. 12. Halbouni B. 2. Laborda M. 16. Berhalter S. 20. Cubas A. 11. Sabbi E. 13. Muller T. 22. Ahmed A. 14. Rios D.	76. Rick A. (G) 11. Bedoya A. 5. Glesnes J. 26. Harriel N. 39. Westfield F. 33. Sullivan Q. 4. Lukic J. 8. Bueno J. 19. Vassilev I. 7. Uhre M. 32. Iloski M.
Substitutes
59. Badwal J. 32. Boehmer I. (G) 27. Bovalina G. 17. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 75. Elloumi R. 28. Johnson T. 7. Nelson J. 26. Ngando J. 6. Priso-Mbongue R.	9. Baribo T. 20. Damiani B. 21. Jean Jacques D. 31. Marks G. (G) 15. Mbaizo O. 44. Pierre N. 14. Rafanello J. 6. Sullivan C. 27. Wagner K.
Coaches
Sorensen J.	Carnell B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
8', Muller T. 🟨,
16', Blackmon T. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Laborda M. ⚽, Berhalter S. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Sabbi E. ⚽, Ahmed A. (A),
29', 3 - 0, Muller T. (Pen),
45+1', 4 - 0, Muller T. (Pen),
45+2', Uhre M. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
45+2', Bedoya A. ↓, Wagner K. ↑,
45+2', Bueno J. ↓, Jean Jacques D. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 5 - 0, Sabbi E. ⚽, Muller T. (A), Berhalter S. (A2)
63', Vassilev I. ↓, Damiani B. ↑,
67', Ahmed A. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
68', Rios D. ↓, Elloumi R. ↑,
68', Ocampo E. ↓, Johnson T. ↑,
68', Iloski M. 🟨,
70', Iloski M. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
74', Johnson T. 🟨,
75', Baribo T. 🟨,
80', 6 - 0, Elloumi R. ⚽, Berhalter S. (A), Nelson J. (A2)
82', Cubas A. ↓, Badwal J. ↑,
87', Lukic J. 🟨,
88', Blackmon T. ↓, Bovalina G. ↑,
88', 7 - 0, Muller T. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 2.

Vancouver has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Philadelphia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vancouver is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Veselinovic R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Injury) Makhanya O. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B. (Calf Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
23.08.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - St. Louis City	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Houston Dynamo	1:1 ✺
Canadian Championship
13.08.25	Forge - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:2 ✺
MLS
09.08.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Sporting Kansas City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTTLW
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
30.08.25	Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
13.08.25	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	3:2 ✺
MLS
09.08.25	Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
27.04.19	Vancouver Whitecaps - Philadelphia Union	1:1
23.06.18	Philadelphia Union - Vancouver Whitecaps	4:0
05.03.17	Vancouver Whitecaps - Philadelphia Union	0:0
25.06.16	Philadelphia Union - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:3
09.05.15	Vancouver Whitecaps - Philadelphia Union	3:0
07.06.14	Philadelphia Union - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:3
27.07.13	Vancouver Whitecaps - Philadelphia Union	0:1

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