Match Info

Championship - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tim Hortons Field (Hamilton, ON)

Referee: Rudolf Y. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Forge		Vancouver Whitecaps

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.8
	3.2	3.55	1.92
	3.11	3.82	1.95
	3.12	3.48	2.14	Watch
	3.4	3.42	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (4.49)	3.59 ↓ (3.68)	1.95 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forge
28%

Draw
25.3%

Vancouver Whitecaps
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

24.6%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

22.1%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forge's performance.

Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Whitecaps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+3%)

Forge - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 24. Rama R. 5. Nimick D. 21. Hojabrpour A. 3. Jevremovic M. 13. Achinioti-Jonsson A. 10. Bekker K. (C) 11. Ampomah N. 19. Borges T. 7. Choiniere D. 9. Wright B.	32. Boehmer I. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 33. Blackmon T. 15. Utvik B. 28. Johnson T. 16. Berhalter S. 13. Priso-Mbongue R. 26. Ngando J. 14. Rios D. 24. White B. (C) 7. Nelson J.
Substitutes
18. Babouli M. 36. Bontis D. (G) 32. Bruno Z. 8. Cisse E. 12. Filion M. 22. Jensen N. 29. Kalongo C. (G) 41. Kone A. 17. Massunda H.	59. Badwal J. 27. Bovalina G. 17. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 12. Halbouni B. 2. Laborda M. 42. Pierre N. 11. Sabbi E. 30. Zendejas A. (G)
Coaches
Smyrniotis B.	Sorensen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Ampomah N. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Blackmon T. ⚽, Utvik B. (A),
29', 1 - 2, White B. ⚽, Nelson J. (A),
31', Choiniere D. 🟨,
34', 2 - 2, Wright B. ⚽, Ampomah N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', White B. ↓, Sabbi E. ↑,
59', Ngando J. ↓, Badwal J. ↑,
59', Ocampo E. ↓, Laborda M. ↑,
69', Ampomah N. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
69', Choiniere D. ↓, Babouli M. ↑,
75', Blackmon T. 🟨,
75', Wright B. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
75', Borges T. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
83', Jensen N. 🟨,
85', Nelson J. ↓, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Forge is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vancouver has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vancouver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vancouver has had a series of away games.

Vancouver might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forge FC
Canadian Premier League
09.08.25	Inter Toronto - Forge	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Forge - Valour	5:0 ✺
25.07.25	HFX Wanderers - Forge	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Forge - Pacific FC	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Atlético Ottawa - Forge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWT
- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
09.08.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Sporting Kansas City	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	San Diego - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:3 ✺
12.07.25	Colorado Rapids - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTWL

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