Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: National Arena Toshe Proeski (Skopje)

Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vardar		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.40	2.90	Watch
	2.25	3.40	3.20
	2.20	3.40	3.05	Watch
	2.14	3.36	3.64
	2.1	3.7	3.14	Watch
	2.10	3.15	3.55
	2.23	3.60	3.07	Watch
	2.15	3.40	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.34)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	3.23 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
43.5%

Draw
27.4%

KuPS Kuopio
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	21.1%	42.1%

Vardar - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Vardar will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). KuPS will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vardar (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Taleski D. (G) 21. Jankulov G. 14. Velkovski D. 4. Matic M. 34. Puleio I. 99. Torres J. 8. Nikolov B. 32. Castaneda D. 71. Miguel Pires 9. Omeragic A. (C) 10. Zakaric G.	1. Kreidl J. (G) 29. Puukko A. 28. Magassa B. 4. Adams K. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 16. Jyry T. 9. Engvall G. 24. Armah B. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
Substitutes
6. Babunski D. 88. Bosancic N. 27. Cvetkovski F. 49. Danev D. 1. Dikovski D. (G) 23. Duranski F. 3. Manevski M. 18. Mishkovski N. 5. Najdovski F. 7. Rodrigues G. 17. Spahiu E. 22. Todorovski D.	33. Hamalainen T. 17. Heinonen A. 3. Heiskanen S. 19. Kabuye C. 13. Kujasalo N. 23. Lotjonen A. 20. Parzyszek P. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 37. Silen K. (G) 22. Touray S. 2. Ward K.
Coaches
Fabbiani C.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Matic M. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Magassa B. ⚽, Antwi C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Torres J. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Armah B. ⚽,
54', Puleio I. ↓, Manevski M. ↑,
62', Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
62', Castaneda D. ↓, Bosancic N. ↑,
62', Omeragic A. ↓, Danev D. ↑,
68', Engvall G. 🟨,
68', Puukko A. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
68', Engvall G. ↓, Touray S. ↑,
70', Bosancic N. 🟨,
74', Bosancic N. 🟨,
76', Miguel Pires ↓, Babunski D. ↑,
80', Nikolov B. 🟨,
86', Armah B. ↓, Heiskanen S. ↑,
86', Jyry T. ↓, Kabuye C. ↑,
90+2', Danev D. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

KuPS is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

KuPS Kuopio - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.99%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
23.05.26	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	3:0 ✺
15.05.26	Struga - Vardar	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Vardar - Sileks	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Vardar - Tikveš	7:0 ✺
11.04.26	Vardar - Rabotnički	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.26	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:4 ✺
23.06.26	KuPS Kuopio - Ilves	4:3 ✺
17.06.26	TPS - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
10.06.26	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTL

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