Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Varese		Casatese

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	1.93
	3.7	3.1	1.9
	3.58	2.96	1.87
	3.96	2.9	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.58)	2.99 ↑ (2.96)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
23.8%

Draw
29.9%

Casatese
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

29.3%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

24.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casatese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varese - Casatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 7).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Città di Varese have a series of guest games.

Casatese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Città di Varese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group B
22.01.23	Seregno - Varese	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Varese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Giana Erminio - Varese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.01.23	Alcione - Varese	1:1 ✺
21.12.22	Lumezzane - Varese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLTL
- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
22.01.23	Casatese - Caronnese	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Arconatese - Casatese	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Casatese - Brusaporto	0:2 ✺
21.12.22	Casatese - Breno	0:3 ✺
17.12.22	Villa Valle - Casatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
28.09.22	Casatese - Varese	0:0

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