Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 31

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday


	Vargas Torres		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	4.41	2.97	1.97
	4.33	2.88	1.88
	4.3	3.04	1.91	Watch
	4.1	2.95	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.66)	2.96 ↑ (2.92)	1.92 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vargas Torres
21.4%

Draw
30.9%

Deportivo Macará
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

31.8%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

31.1%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Vargas Torres - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vargas Torres will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Macará will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Vargas Torres is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Macará is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vargas Torres could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Macará is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vargas Torres won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vargas Torres won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
14.09.23	Vargas Torres - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	3:1 ✺
06.09.23	Vargas Torres - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
29.08.23	América de Quito - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
23.08.23	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLT
- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Serie B
12.09.23	Deportivo Macará - Independiente Juniors	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Búhos ULVR - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
05.09.23	Deportivo Macará - América de Quito	3:1 ✺
30.08.23	Manta - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
23.08.23	Chacaritas - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
02.08.23	Deportivo Macará - Vargas Torres	2:0
25.05.23	Deportivo Macará - Vargas Torres	1:0
29.03.23	Vargas Torres - Deportivo Macará	0:0

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