Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Folke Anderson (Esmeraldas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Vargas Torres		Imbabura

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.27	3.08	3.22	Watch
	2.09	3.04	3.43
	2.18	2.95	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.07)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	3.32 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vargas Torres
42.1%

Draw
30.3%

Imbabura
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.5%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-3%)

Vargas Torres - Imbabura Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vargas Torres (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vargas Torres might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vargas Torres won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vargas Torres won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
03.09.25	Vargas Torres - 22 de Julio	4:0 ✺
26.08.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Guayaquil City - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Vargas Torres - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWTTT
- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.09.25	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
04.09.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	0:3 ✺
28.08.25	Chacaritas - Imbabura	2:3 ✺
15.08.25	Leones del Norte - Imbabura	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Imbabura - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
03.07.25	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	1:0
22.04.25	Imbabura - Vargas Torres	0:0
10.10.23	Imbabura - Vargas Torres	1:1
23.08.23	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	1:1
13.04.23	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	2:2

Vargas Torres - Imbabura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide