Match Info

Date: 4 April 2022, Monday


	Varzim		Porto B

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.4
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.45	2.95	2.85
	2.16	3.05	3.35
	2.23	3.39	3.45
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.16	3.2	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.41)	3.13 ↑ (2.88)	3.22 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
41.7%

Draw
29.6%

Porto B
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Varzim - Porto B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varzim won 0.

Varzim is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porto B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Varzim will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Varzim won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
20.03.22	Vilafranquense - Varzim	0:0 ✺
11.03.22	Varzim - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Benfica B - Varzim	1:2 ✺
28.02.22	Varzim - Feirense	0:0 ✺
21.02.22	Estrela da Amadora - Varzim	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TWWTT
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
20.03.22	Porto B - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
13.03.22	Farense - Porto B	2:0 ✺
06.03.22	Porto B - Académica Coimbra	3:3 ✺
27.02.22	Rio Ave - Porto B	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	Porto B - Chaves	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.11.21	Porto B - Varzim	2:2
31.01.21	Porto B - Varzim	0:1
13.09.20	Varzim - Porto B	1:0
02.02.20	Varzim - Porto B	0:2
18.08.19	Porto B - Varzim	1:1
23.04.19	Porto B - Varzim	0:1
21.10.18	Varzim - Porto B	2:1

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