The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chaves 57.2%
Draw 25.9%
Varzim 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
27%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.6%
22.1%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-2%)
Chaves - Varzim Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
Chaves is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Varzim has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Varzim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Chaves is a favorite.
Varzim has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Last 9 head-to-head matches Chaves won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
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