Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Varzim SC (Póvoa de Varzim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Varzim		Boavista

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.82
	3.3	3.3	1.95
	3.5	3.6	1.95
	3.42	3.69	2.04
	3.33	3.73	1.92	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2
	3.74	3.54	1.94
	3.5	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (4.45)	3.58 ↓ (4.11)	1.95 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varzim
27.1%

Draw
25.7%

Boavista
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

22.1%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

21.1%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boavista might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boavista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Varzim - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Varzim will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Boavista will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Momo Mbaye (G) 55. Ze Oliveira (C) 32. Pedrosa R. 4. Henriques L. 22. Araujo C. 8. Oliveira R. 6. Pacheco F. 2. Pimenta G. 99. Moshood M. 9. Silva Nhaga I. 19. Lopes A.	1. Cesar (G) 15. Gomes P. 26. Abascal R. (C) 35. Miguel G. 25. Dabo A. 18. Vukotic I. 88. Ribeiro M. 7. Agra S. 10. Reisinho M. 75. Silva T. 74. Llorente D.
Substitutes
49. Costa P. (G) 13. Freitas R. 14. Graca H. 70. Lapas Montenegro L. M. 25. Lima da Silva T. 5. Milhazes A. 23. Monteiro J. 10. Pereira N. 17. Sequeira D.	71. Barros J. 9. Bozenik R. 2. Camara I. 20. Ferreira F. 85. Ferreira L. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 16. Silva J. 76. Sousa T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Gomes P. 🟨,
45+1', Pacheco F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abascal R. ↓, Ferreira F. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Moshood M. ⚽,
53', Pedrosa R. 🟨,
58', Vukotic I. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
58', Llorente D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
58', Agra S. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
65', Camara I. 🟨,
68', Ze Oliveira 🟨,
72', Pimenta G. ↓, Monteiro J. ↑,
75', Gomes P. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
79', Araujo C. ↓, Lapas Montenegro L. M. ↑,
79', Moshood M. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
89', Silva Nhaga I. ↓, Lima da Silva T. ↑,
89', Oliveira R. ↓, Pereira N. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Varzim is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boavista is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Boavista is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Trofense - Varzim	3:2 ✺
28.09.24	Varzim - Sanjoanense	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Varzim - Ferreiras	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	Vilaverdense - Varzim	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Varzim - Amarante	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL
- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
06.10.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Santa Clara - Boavista	1:0 ✺
23.09.24	Boavista - Benfica	0:3 ✺
16.09.24	Estrela da Amadora - Boavista	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Boavista - Estoril Praia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLTT

Varzim - Boavista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide