Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Varzim		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.2
	2.35	2.88	3.05
	2.38	2.95	3.05
	2.46	3.08	3.2
	2.38	2.9	3.2
	2.38	3.13	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.4)	3.02 ↓ (3.06)	3.08 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
39.2%

Draw
30.7%

Estrela da Amadora
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

30.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

21%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela da Amadora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varzim - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 14).

Varzim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Estrela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varzim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.21	Leixões - Varzim	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Nacional - Varzim	2:1 ✺
22.08.21	Varzim - Rio Ave	0:3 ✺
14.08.21	Académica Coimbra - Varzim	1:1 ✺
07.08.21	Varzim - Chaves	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLTT
- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.21	Académica Coimbra - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
10.09.21	Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave	2:5 ✺
21.08.21	Estrela da Amadora - Farense	3:1 ✺
13.08.21	Trofense - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
08.08.21	Estrela da Amadora - Mafra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWTL

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