Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 13

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, RedeTV!, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Onefootball, TV Globo Internacional


	Corinthians		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.45
	2.19	3.36	3.67
	2.14	3.4	3.51	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.16	3.38	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.07)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
44.4%

Draw
28.4%

Vasco da Gama
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.6%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Corinthians - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Vasco (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Vasco (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Vasco (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Kaue (G) 14. Raniele 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 49. Andre 29. Allan 7. Breno Bidon 8. Garro R. (C) 11. Vitinho 9. Yuri Alberto	1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 4. Saldivia A. 30. Robert Renan 66. Cuiabano 88. Cauan Barros 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 3. Tche Tche 20. Brenner 11. Andres Gomez 7. David
Substitutes
80. Alex Santana 5. Andre Ramalho 26. Angileri F. 19. Carrillo A. 61. Dieguinho 40. Felipe Longo (G) 37. Kaio Cesar 52. Labyad Z. 77. Lingard J. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M.	28. Adson 46. Cuesta C. 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 18. Hinestroza M. 25. Hugo Moura 98. JP 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 17. Moreira N. 2. Rodriguez J. 10. Rojas J. 77. Spinelli C.
Coaches
Diniz F.	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Diniz F. 🟨,
29', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
31', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
31', Tche Tche 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Matheus Bidu ⚽, Garro R. (A),
41', Cauan Barros 🟨,
45', Andre 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thiago Mendes ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
46', Cuiabano ↓, Lucas Piton ↑,
63', Vitinho ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
63', Tche Tche ↓, Adson ↑,
68', David ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
77', Garro R. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
78', Paulo Henrique ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
82', Rojas J. 🟨,
89', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
89', Breno Bidon ↓, Pereira M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.

Corinthians is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vasco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Corinthians could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon (Inactive) Depay M. (Thigh Injury) Gui Negao (Inactive) Joao Pedro (Inactive)

There will not play in Vasco: Jair (Knee Injury) Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Corinthians: Kayke (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:16. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 1.5:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Vasco	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35
16	Corinthians	29	8	8	13	30:34	-4	32

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.04.26	Vitória Salvador - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Platense - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWTW
- Vasco da Gama
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	Paysandu - Vasco da Gama	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.04.26	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.04.26	Remo - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Barracas Central - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
21.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	1:2
17.12.25	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
24.08.25	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	2:3
05.04.25	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	3:0
24.11.24	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	3:1
10.07.24	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	2:0
28.11.23	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	2:4

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