Match Info

Serie A - Round 32

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	18:30	Flow Eventos
Brazil	18:30	Globoplay, Premiere, TV Record
Ecuador	16:30	Canal del Futbol
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	18:30	Flow Eventos
Uruguay	18:30	Flow
Usa	17:30	Fanatiz


	Vasco da Gama		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.70	5.25
	1.62	3.6	4.9	Watch
	1.68	3.97	5.75
	1.66	3.92	5.2	Watch
	1.63	3.9	5.65
	1.7	3.87	5.09	Watch
	1.63	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)	3.83 ↑ (3.68)	5.31 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
57.4%

Draw
24.7%

Corinthians
17.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vasco da Gama - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 4. Saldivia A. 30. Robert Renan 66. Cuiabano 22. Lescano A. 5. Sosa S. 11. Gomez A. 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 9. Colidio F. 19. Bruno Duarte	1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 5. Andre Ramalho 13. Gustavo Henrique 26. Angileri F. 49. Andre 7. Breno Bidon 61. Dieguinho 8. Garro R. (C) 21. Matheus Bidu 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
20. Brenner 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 55. Gabriel Pereira 18. Hinestroza M. 8. Jair 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 17. Moreira N. 96. Paulo Henrique 83. Ramon Rique 3. Tche Tche	29. Allan 35. Charles Rigon 56. Gui Negao 46. Hugo 4. Joao Pedro 37. Kaio Cesar 51. Kaue (G) 77. Lingard J. 55. Machado I. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M.
Coaches
Emanuel P.	Seedorf C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Garro R. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
37', Gomez A. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Gustavo Henrique ⚽, Breno Bidon (A),
57', 1 - 2, Matheus Bidu ⚽, Angileri F. (A),
59', Dieguinho ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
67', Garro R. ↓, Allan ↑,
67', Breno Bidon ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
67', Sosa S. ↓, Brenner ↑,
75', Colidio F. ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
75', Bruno Duarte ↓, David ↑,
75', Cuiabano ↓, Lucas Piton ↑,
76', Yuri Alberto ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
77', Matheus Bidu ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
85', Angileri F. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Hinestroza M. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Hinestroza M. ⚽, David (A),
90+2', Hinestroza M. 🟨,
90+6', Lingard J. 🟨,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15th and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 0.

In recent outings, Vasco has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Corinthians has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Corinthians could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Vasco carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Vasco: Cauan Barros (Inactive) Cuesta C. (Inactive) Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Corinthians: Kayke (Knee Injury) Labyad Z. (Knee Injury) Raniele (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vasco has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:42 (averaging 0.8:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vasco against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with 14:26 goals (averaging 1.4:2.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Vasco	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
18	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians - the odds 4.19 are the expected chance of winning is 22.71%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Copa Sudamericana
20.10.26	Vasco da Gama - Boca Juniors	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.10.26	São Paulo - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.10.26	Boca Juniors - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.10.26	Vasco da Gama - Remo	0:0 ✺
07.10.26	Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLWTW
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
19.10.26	Corinthians - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Palmeiras - Corinthians	4:1 ✺
07.10.26	Internacional RS - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Corinthians - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	Corinthians - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	1:0
Copa do Brasil
21.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	1:2
17.12.25	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
24.08.25	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	2:3
05.04.25	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	3:0
24.11.24	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	3:1
10.07.24	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	2:0

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