Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - Final

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSPORTS+ Plus
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, RedeTV!, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	DSports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Vasco da Gama		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.25
	2.42	2.72	3.45
	2.5	2.97	3.38
	2.42	2.71	3.54	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3.3
	2.41	2.73	3.5
	2.4	2.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.29)	2.77 ↓ (2.92)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
39%

Draw
33.8%

Corinthians
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

30.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Vasco da Gama - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Vasco (3.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 2. Rodriguez J. 88. Cauan Barros 23. Thiago Mendes 10. Coutinho 11. Gomez C. A. 77. Rayan 17. Moreira N.	1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 5. Andre Ramalho 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 14. Raniele 70. Martinez J. 7. Maycon (C) 27. Breno Bidon 9. Yuri Alberto 10. Depay M.
Substitutes
13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 15. Garre B. 19. GB 25. Hugo Moura 43. Lucas Freitas 29. Lucas Oliveira 9. Matheus Franca 18. Paulinho Paula 3. Tche Tche 99. Vegetti P. 12. Victor Luis	49. Andre 11. Angel Romero 26. Angileri F. 25. Caca 19. Carrillo A. 61. Dieguinho 40. Felipe Longo (G) 8. Garro R. 56. Gui Negao 47. Joao Pedro 37. Ryan 29. Vitinho
Coaches
Diniz F.	Dorival Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Matheuzinho (A),
41', 1 - 1, Moreira N. ⚽, Gomez C. A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Cuesta C. 🟨,
54', Dorival Junior 🟨,
60', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
60', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Depay M. ⚽, Yuri Alberto (A),
67', Cauan Barros ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
69', Raniele ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
78', Breno Bidon ↓, Garro R. ↑,
79', Maycon ↓, Andre ↑,
79', Coutinho ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
79', Moreira N. ↓, GB ↑,
81', Carrillo A. 🟨,
83', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
83', Yuri Alberto ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
85', Matheuzinho 🟨,
86', Vegetti P. 🟨,
88', Rodriguez J. ↓, David ↑,
88', Cuesta C. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vasco could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) Jair (Knee Injury) Lucas Piton (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vasco: Garre B. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.4:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.86%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Copa do Brasil
17.12.25	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 penalties ✺
11.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama	5:0 ✺
02.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Mirassol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWLL
- Corinthians
Copa do Brasil
17.12.25	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	2:2 penalties ✺
10.12.25	Cruzeiro - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Corinthians - Juventude	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Fortaleza - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
17.12.25	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
24.08.25	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	2:3
05.04.25	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	3:0
24.11.24	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	3:1
10.07.24	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	2:0
28.11.23	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians	2:4
29.07.23	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	3:1

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