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Current Win Probability
Kataller Toyama 41.1%
Draw 27.4%
Tokushima Vortis 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
29.8%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
29.2%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tokushima will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hirao T. (G) 13. Fukazawa S. 56. Okamoto S. 23. Nishiya S. 33. Takahashi Y. 20. Jung Woo-Young 14. Tanimoto S. 28. Fuseya S. 11. Ogawa K. 7. Kameda A. 15. Tsuboi K.
31. Hasegawa T. (G) 22. Yanagisawa K. 20. Matsuda K. 3. Yamada N. 7. Kodama S. 19. Miyazaki J. 6. Kanuma N. 10. Sugimoto T. 42. Takagi Y. 11. Lucas Barcelos 9. Thonny Anderson
Substitutes
39. Furukawa M. 42. Kim T. 10. Matsuda R. 8. Matsuoka D. 30. Nakashima Y. 19. Saneto Y. 34. Takenaka G. 21. Terakado R. (G) 17. Yunomae M.
69. Fukuta M. 27. Izuchukwu L. 4. Kaique 14. Kajiya Y. 97. Moyo M. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 55. Shigehiro T. 24. Takada S. 44. Yamaguchi T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Lucas Barcelos ⚽,
19', Lucas Barcelos 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Fuseya S. ⚽, Takahashi Y. (A),
26', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Kajiya Y. ↑,
45+2', 2 - 1, Tsuboi K. ⚽,
45+5', Thonny Anderson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ogawa K. ↓, Kim T. ↑,
52', Kanuma N. 🟨,
55', Takagi Y. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
55', Thonny Anderson ↓, Shigehiro T. ↑,
64', Tsuboi K. ↓, Yunomae M. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Kajiya Y. ⚽, Shigehiro T. (A),
72', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Takenaka G. ↑,
72', Kameda A. ↓, Furukawa M. ↑,
82', Okamoto S. ↓, Saneto Y. ↑,
86', Miyazaki J. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Saneto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Kajiya Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Furukawa M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yamada N. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yunomae M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sugimoto T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kim T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kanuma N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Fuseya S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Shigehiro T. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Tanimoto S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Matsuda K. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Nishiya S. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Izuchukwu L. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
Kataller Toyama is Confirmed as championsnQualified for J2/J3 League (Play Offs )
Kataller Toyama is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tokushima is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Tokushima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kataller Toyama could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Kataller Toyama will win today's game, with odds of 2.2.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Last Results with these Odds
Kataller Toyama - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.23%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Hirao T. (G) 
Jung Woo-Young 
Lucas Barcelos 
Izuchukwu L. 
