Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 18

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Nagano U Stadium (Nagano)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Nagano Parceiro		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.4	1.72
	3.4	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.05	3.44	2.2
	3.28	4.14	1.91	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.5	3.52	1.89	Watch
	4	3.3	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (4)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagano Parceiro
26.4%

Draw
26.3%

Ventforet Kofu
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

28.1%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

27.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagano Parceiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nagano Parceiro - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nagano will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Kofu will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagano: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tajiri K. (G) 24. Watanabe Z. 2. Sakai S. 13. Tsukegi Y. 25. Tanaka K. 30. Nojima K. 46. Koga S. 6. Hasegawa H. 8. Kondo T. 18. Yoshizawa S. 11. Shin K.	97. Higashi J. (G) 20. Endo H. 2. Inoue M. 6. Kobayashi I. 27. Takei S. 24. Sato K. 26. Sato K. 8. Yasuda K. 7. Araki S. 14. Fujii K. 32. Ota R.
Substitutes
28. Fujikawa K. 4. Gyotoku E. 15. Higuchi K. 19. Ito K. 17. Kutsuna K. 21. Nakano K. (G) 26. Nakata S. 10. Yamanaka R. 22. Yoshida K.	16. Hayashida K. 25. Hiratsuka Y. 96. Kurokawa A. 95. Mendes 19. Mizuno H. 10. Naito Y. 29. Oshima K. 4. Yamamoto H. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Sato K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Takei S. 🟨,
60', Kondo T. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
61', Shin K. ↓, Fujikawa K. ↑,
63', Fujii K. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
63', Sato K. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
77', Koga S. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
77', Nojima K. ↓, Higuchi K. ↑,
78', Takei S. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
85', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Ito K. ↑,
85', Sato K. ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
85', Kobayashi I. ↓, Mendes ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Naito Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Fujikawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mizuno H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kutsuna K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Oshima K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Higuchi K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Ota R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Tsukegi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Mendes (Penalty Awarded),
5, Hasegawa H. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Kurokawa A. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Tanaka K. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Yasuda K. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Yoshida K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).

Kofu is Qualified for J2/J3 League (Play Offs )

Recent performances by Nagano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kofu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Kofu is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Nagano Parceiro - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.22%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J2 J3 League
17.05.26	Omiya Ardija - Nagano Parceiro	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	2:3 ✺
06.05.26	Consadole Sapporo - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 penalties ✺
29.04.26	Nagano Parceiro - Fukushima United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLLWL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 J3 League
16.05.26	Ventforet Kofu - Gifu	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
14.02.26	Ventforet Kofu - Nagano Parceiro	2:0

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