Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Veles Moscow		Orenburg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	3.5	1.75
	4	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.71
	5.12	3.63	1.73
	4.5	3.3	1.72
	4.8	3.7	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.38)	3.47 ↓ (3.48)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veles Moscow
20.5%

Draw
26.5%

Orenburg
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

26.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

17%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Veles Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Veles Moscow - Orenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Veles have a series of home games.

In this match Orenburg is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Veles won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Veles won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL
17.11.21	Veles Moscow - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:1 ✺
13.11.21	Tom Tomsk - Veles Moscow	1:0 ✺
06.11.21	Veles Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Veles Moscow - Fakel	0:4 ✺
Russian Cup
27.10.21	Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL
- FC Orenburg
Russian FNL
17.11.21	Orenburg - Tom Tomsk	2:1 ✺
13.11.21	Fakel - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
06.11.21	Orenburg - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
26.10.21	Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
14.08.21	Orenburg - Veles Moscow	2:1
28.03.21	Orenburg - Veles Moscow	3:0
04.10.20	Veles Moscow - Orenburg	1:1

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