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Current Win Probability
Orenburg 26.7%
Draw 29.2%
Baltika Kaliningrad 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.3%
28.3%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
29%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
12.5%
87.5%
Orenburg - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Baltika (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Baltika Kaliningrad will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 18. Moufi F. 38. Kasimov A. 4. Khotulev D. 3. Vedernikov D. 37. Du Queiroz 33. Kvekveskiri I. (C) 16. Thompson J. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 7. Gurluk E. 30. Guzina G.
67. Borisko M. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 16. Andrade K. 25. Filin A. (C) 17. Saus V. 26. Belikov I. 10. Petrov I. 23. Beveev M. 22. Titkov N. 91. Gil B. 19. Pryakhin S.
Substitutes
19. Alexandre Jesus 57. Bolotov E. 29. Bubanja V. 44. Chichinadze A. 85. Ignatjev I. 8. Kamilov V. 11. Oganesyan S. 2. Poroykov S. 9. Savelyev M. 99. Sysuev N. (G) 26. Tsenov E. 31. Zotov G.
77. Civic E. 4. Gassama N. 14. Kovac S. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 69. Manelov I. 8. Mendel A. 90. Offor C. 42. Pospelov V. 39. Stepanov K. 15. Yenne T.
Coaches
Akhmetzyanov I.
Talalaev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Kasimov A. 🟨,
16', Andrade K. 🟨,
35', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Guzina G. 🟨,
58', Beveev M. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
58', Pryakhin S. ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
69', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
69', Titkov N. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
83', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
84', Belikov I. 🟨,
86', Thompson J. ↓, Oganesyan S. ↑,
86', Gurluk E. ↓, Poroykov S. ↑,
88', Petrov I. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
90+1', Manelov I. 🟨,
90+2', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
90+3', Du Queiroz ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 2.
Orenburg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Baltika has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Baltika might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Baltika: Saus V.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Baltika: Petrov M.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Kosovo
Russia
Serbia
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Ovsyannikov B. (G) 
Moufi F. 
Du Queiroz 
Thompson J. 
Gurluk E. 
Guzina G. 
Andrade K. 
Gil B. 
Bubanja V. 
Chichinadze A. 
Tsenov E. 
Gassama N. 
Kovalev Y. 
Offor C. 
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