Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 37

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Venezia		FeralpiSalò

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.6	6
	1.47	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.43	4.88	6.91
	1.48	4.95	6.26
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.47	4.8	6.15	Watch
	1.46	4.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	4.7 ↑ (4.69)	6.27 ↓ (6.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
64.9%

Draw
20.1%

FeralpiSalò
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

19.2%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

FeralpiSalò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Venezia - FeralpiSalò Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). FeralpiSalò will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joronen J. (G) 15. Altare G. 30. Svoboda M. 4. Idzes J. 27. Candela A. 18. Jajalo M. 6. Busio G. 24. Lella N. 19. Bjarkason B. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 9. Gytkjaer C.	1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 66. Bergonzi F. 23. Ceppitelli L. 19. Pilati A. 97. Felici M. 39. Kourfalidis C. 16. Fiordilino L. 20. Zennaro M. 94. Letizia G. 11. Dubickas E. 91. La Mantia A.
Substitutes
38. Andersen M. K. 12. Bruno (G) 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 23. Grandi M. (G) 13. Modolo M. 99. Olivieri M. 10. Pierini N. 8. Tessmann T. 31. Ullmann M.	70. Attys C. 14. Compagnon M. 6. Giudici L. 27. Hergheligiu D. 17. Krastev D. 18. Liverani L. (G) 99. Pietrelli A. 61. Volpe G. (G) 7. Voltan D.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Zaffaroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Lella N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Jajalo M. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
46', Lella N. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
51', La Mantia A. 🟨,
57', Svoboda M. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Gytkjaer C. (A),
61', Bjarkason B. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
64', Dubickas E. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
73', Fiordilino L. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
73', Zennaro M. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
73', Busio G. ↓, Andersen M. K. ↑,
73', Altare G. ↓, Dembele A. ↑,
78', Dembele A. 🟨,
79', Ceppitelli L. ↓, Krastev D. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Compagnon M. ⚽, Kourfalidis C. (A),
85', Ellertsson M. E. 🟨,
90+2', Andersen M. K. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Svoboda M. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 3.

Venezia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

FeralpiSalò is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Venezia is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Venezia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
01.05.24	Catanzaro - Venezia	3:2 ✺
26.04.24	Venezia - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Lecco - Venezia	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Venezia - Brescia	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ascoli - Venezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWT
- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie B
01.05.24	FeralpiSalò - Brescia	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Cittadella - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	FeralpiSalò - Como	2:5 ✺
13.04.24	Pisa - FeralpiSalò	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	FeralpiSalò - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Venezia	2:2
Italian Serie C Group B
05.04.17	Venezia - FeralpiSalò	1:0
19.11.16	FeralpiSalò - Venezia	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.15	FeralpiSalò - Venezia	2:1
27.09.14	Venezia - FeralpiSalò	4:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
05.01.14	Venezia - FeralpiSalò	0:1
01.09.13	FeralpiSalò - Venezia	2:0

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