Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Play Offs - Final

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno


	Venezia		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	2.42	3.35	3.2
	2.37	3.35	3.2
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.35	3.34	3.09	Watch
	2.31	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.06)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
40.5%

Draw
28.8%

Cremonese
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	21.4%	21.4%

Venezia - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Cremonese will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joronen J. (G) 4. Idzes J. 30. Svoboda M. 33. Sverko M. 27. Candela A. 6. Busio G. (C) 8. Tessmann T. 7. Zampano F. 19. Bjarkason B. 9. Gytkjaer C. 20. Pohjanpalo J.	21. Saro G. (G) 26. Antov V. 5. Ravanelli L. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 98. Zanimacchia L. 6. Pickel C. 19. Castagnetti M. 10. Buonaiuto C. 17. Sernicola L. 74. Tsadjout F. 20. Vazquez F.
Substitutes
15. Altare G. 38. Andersen M. K. 12. Bruno (G) 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 23. Grandi M. (G) 18. Jajalo M. 24. Lella N. 13. Modolo M. 99. Olivieri M. 10. Pierini N.	32. Abrego G. 9. Ciofani D. 90. Coda M. 8. Collocolo M. 7. Falletti C. 18. Ghiglione P. 22. Jungdal A. (G) 44. Lochoshvili L. 37. Majer Z. 4. Marrone L. 33. Quagliata G. 13. Tuia A.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Gytkjaer C. ⚽, Busio G. (A),
28', Sverko M. 🟨,
28', Vazquez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vazquez F. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
46', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Collocolo M. ↑,
56', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
58', Idzes J. 🟨,
60', Busio G. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
71', Candela A. 🟨,
72', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
79', Sernicola L. 🟨,
80', Bjarkason B. ↓, Andersen M. K. ↑,
80', Sverko M. ↓, Altare G. ↑,
80', Candela A. ↓, Dembele A. ↑,
84', Pickel C. 🟨,
86', Antov V. ↓, Ciofani D. ↑,
86', Sernicola L. ↓, Quagliata G. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Venezia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Venezia won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
30.05.24	Cremonese - Venezia	0:0 ✺
24.05.24	Venezia - Palermo	2:1 ✺
20.05.24	Palermo - Venezia	0:1 ✺
10.05.24	Spezia - Venezia	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Venezia - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
30.05.24	Cremonese - Venezia	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Cremonese - Catanzaro	4:1 ✺
21.05.24	Catanzaro - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
10.05.24	Cremonese - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
05.05.24	Parma - Cremonese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.05.24	Cremonese - Venezia	0:0
26.04.24	Venezia - Cremonese	2:1
09.12.23	Cremonese - Venezia	1:0
09.02.21	Venezia - Cremonese	3:1
17.10.20	Cremonese - Venezia	0:0
18.01.20	Cremonese - Venezia	0:0
24.08.19	Venezia - Cremonese	1:2

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