Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 34

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)


	Lecco		Venezia

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.65	Watch
	4.8	4	1.62
	4.75	4	1.65	Watch
	5.29	4.13	1.64
	5.29	4.14	1.65
	4.2	3.7	1.75
	4.91	4.15	1.65	Watch
	4.8	3.95	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.27)	4.01 ↑ (3.78)	1.66 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
19.4%

Draw
23.6%

Venezia
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

24.8%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Lecco - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Venezia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 32. Lepore F. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 8. Sersanti A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 27. Ionita A. 21. Crociata G. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.	1. Joronen J. (G) 4. Idzes J. 30. Svoboda M. 33. Sverko M. 27. Candela A. 6. Busio G. 8. Tessmann T. 38. Andersen M. K. 19. Bjarkason B. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 10. Pierini N.
Substitutes
13. Capradossi E. 26. Frigerio M. R. 96. Galli G. 44. Guglielmotti D. 68. Ierardi M. 45. Inglese R. 83. Lemmens M. 7. Lunetta G. 14. Parigini V. 10. Salcedo E. 11. Salomaa H. 22. Saracco U. (G)	15. Altare G. 12. Bruno (G) 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 18. Jajalo M. 24. Lella N. 99. Olivieri M. 31. Ullmann M. 7. Zampano F.
Coaches
Malgrati A.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Buso N. ⚽, Caporale A. (A),
33', Pohjanpalo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sverko M. ↓, Altare G. ↑,
46', Andersen M. K. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
46', Candela A. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Pierini N. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Busio G. ⚽, Altare G. (A),
66', Pierini N. ↓, Jajalo M. ↑,
68', Lepore F. 🟨,
70', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
71', Ionita A. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
75', Novakovich A. ↓, Inglese R. ↑,
78', Celjak V. 🟥,
82', Crociata G. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
85', Parigini V. 🟨,
86', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Lecco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venezia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Venezia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lecco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
13.04.24	Lecco - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Spezia - Lecco	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Lecco - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ascoli - Lecco	4:1 ✺
10.03.24	Lecco - Palermo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTLL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
14.04.24	Venezia - Brescia	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ascoli - Venezia	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Venezia - Reggiana	2:3 ✺
15.03.24	Palermo - Venezia	0:3 ✺
10.03.24	Venezia - Bari	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Venezia - Lecco	2:2

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