What is the expert prediction for Genoa vs Roma?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Genoa vs Roma. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Genoa vs Roma Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, March 08, 2026)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 28

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 4 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Genoa		Roma

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.2	2	Watch
	4.45	3.15	1.98	Watch
	4.49	3.2	2.07
	4.5	3.18	2.02	Watch
	4	3	1.95
	4.45	3.26	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (4.22)	3.17 ↓ (3.44)	2.02 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
22.1%

Draw
30.3%

Roma
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

27.7%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

27.6%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.5%	14.5%	79%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Genoa (4.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (47 of 59 users predict this - 79.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.39% – 89.93%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Roma (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. 20. Sabelli S. 32. Frendrup M. 73. Masini P. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 10. Junior Messias 18. Ekuban C. 21. Ekhator J.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 12. Tsimikas K. 19. Celik Z. 61. Pisilli N. 17. Kone M. 2. Rensch D. 20. Venturino L. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
4. Amorim 29. Colombo L. 70. Cornet M. 76. Gecaj K. 1. Leali N. (G) 17. Malinovskyi R. 3. Martin A. 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 14. Onana J. 34. Otoa S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 9. Vitinha 13. Zatterstrom N.	3. Angelino 4. Cristante B. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 8. El Aynaoui N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 78. Vaz R. 97. Zaragoza B. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
De Rossi D.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ndicka E. 🟨,
16', Masini P. 🟨,
40', Malen D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Venturino L. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Junior Messias (Penalty Awarded),
55', 1 - 1, Ndicka E. ⚽,
56', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
64', Ekhator J. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
64', Junior Messias ↓, Malinovskyi R. ↑,
70', Rensch D. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
75', Ekuban C. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
79', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Vitinha ⚽, Masini P. (A),
84', Celik Z. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
84', Mancini G. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
89', Cristante B. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 1.

Genoa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Roma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Roma is the team to beat.

There will not play in Genoa: Baldanzi T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Hermoso M. (Hip Injury) Soule M. (Groin Injury) Wesley Franca (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Genoa: Norton-Cuffy B. (Injury) Otoa S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 21:38. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma	38	23	4	11	59:31	28	73
16	Genoa	38	10	11	17	41:51	-10	41

Last Results with these Odds

Genoa - the odds 4.22 are the expected chance of winning is 22.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Roma - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.8%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Inter Milan - Genoa	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Genoa - Torino	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cremonese - Genoa	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Genoa - Napoli	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Lazio - Genoa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLL
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
01.03.26	Roma - Juventus	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Roma - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Napoli - Roma	2:2 ✺
09.02.26	Roma - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Udinese - Roma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
29.12.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1
17.01.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1
15.09.24	Genoa - Roma	1:1
19.05.24	Roma - Genoa	1:0
28.09.23	Genoa - Roma	4:1
Coppa Italia
12.01.23	Roma - Genoa	1:0
Italian Serie A
05.02.22	Roma - Genoa	0:0

Genoa - Roma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide